Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs

Round 2

Adelaide 5th • 1-0

Western Bulldogs 3rd • 2-0

Adelaide Oval · Fri 20 Mar, 7:40 PM

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Recommendation

Adelaide 57%

Coin toss

Margin: ~1 pts (1–34)

Adelaide Western Bulldogs

57%

43%

Adelaide's got enough in the tank to get over the line at home, even though the Doggies have been playing the cleaner footy lately. The Crows' fortress at Adelaide Oval is a genuine factor—they're 2-0 there against the Bulldogs recently—and the visitors' interstate trek works against them settling into their game early. Missing Zac Walker hurts the Doggies' forward structure, but Adelaide's own injury list with Curtin, Hinge and Draper out means this isn't a vintage Crows performance either. The weather's set up nicely for contested footy in those conditions, which should suit Adelaide's home-ground advantage and their ability to suffocate the Bulldogs in the middle thirds.

Match summary

Form · Travel / turnaround · Venue · Rub of the green

Form WBD · big edge

ADE Recent margin form is running 49.0 pts better. WBD

Travel / turnaround ADE · big edge

ADE interstate travel, travel turnaround WBD

Venue ADE · big edge

ADE true home ground, fortress edge WBD

Rub of the green WBD · solid edge

ADE Western Bulldogs +3.1 pts ADE +1.4 · WBD +4.5 WBD

Umpire Crew

How this crew has historically impacted each side

Rub of the green ADE +1.4 · WBD +4.5

Crew lean: Western Bulldogs +3.1 pts

Adelaide Western Bulldogs

195 combined team-specific lined samples

Nick Foot No. 2

Adelaide +9.9 pts 18 matches

Western Bulldogs -2.2 pts 24 matches

Brendan Hosking No. 16

Adelaide +0.4 pts 21 matches

Western Bulldogs +7.8 pts 26 matches

Matt Stevic No. 9

Adelaide +2.6 pts 24 matches

Western Bulldogs +7.8 pts 27 matches

Craig Fleer No. 26

Adelaide -3.4 pts 33 matches

Western Bulldogs +4.0 pts 22 matches

Context

Weather ✓ Fine · 27.0°C · forecast Fri 20 Mar

Odds Adelaide: $1.93 · Western Bulldogs: $1.91

Market line 0.5

Recent H2H They've split the last 8 meetings 4-4 (Adelaide Oval: 2-0)

Injury / Availability

Availability impact looks balanced this week

Adelaide 3 out

Minor impact

Key absences

Out

Sid Draper

Out

Dan Curtin

Out

Mitch Hinge

Tests / watchlist

No tests listed.

Western Bulldogs 1 out · 5 tests

Minor impact

Key absences

Out

Zac Walker

Tests / watchlist

Test Adam Treloar Test Arthur Jones Test Jordan Croft

Injury list

Adelaide

Out

Sid Draper 1-2 weeks

Out

Dan Curtin 1 week

Out

Mitch Hinge 3+ weeks

Western Bulldogs

Out

Zac Walker 3+ weeks

Test

Adam Treloar Test / uncertain

Test

Arthur Jones Test / uncertain

Test

Jordan Croft Test / uncertain

Test

Laitham Vandermeer Test / uncertain

Test

Ryan Gardner Test / uncertain

Performance snapshot

Venue edge plus recent form and season-to-date situational rates.

Venue performance

Adelaide Oval

Adelaide Based on 136 completed games at Adelaide Oval

Win rate 60%

Avg margin +14

Western Bulldogs Based on 15 completed games at Adelaide Oval

Win rate 33%

Avg margin -11

Season performance

Adelaide

Record 1-0

Avg margin +14

Upset win % 100%

Win % vs top 8 100%

Home win % vs interstate —

Road win % vs interstate 100%

Western Bulldogs

Record 2-0

Avg margin +43

Upset win % 100%

Win % vs top 8 —

Home win % vs interstate 100%

Road win % vs interstate 100%

Last 5 this season

Adelaide

vs Collingwood +14 · Round 1

Western Bulldogs

vs GWS +81 · Round 1

vs Brisbane Lions +5 · Opening Round

Team selection

Official AFL team sheet · updated Thursday Mar 19, 2026

Adelaide

Western Bulldogs

Selected team

FB [30] Wayne Milera, [41] Jordon Butts, [21] Hugh Bond

HB [9] Nick Murray, [24] Josh Worrell, [29] Rory Laird

C [15] Brayden Cook, [12] Jordan Dawson, [44] Isaac Cumming

HF [23] Izak Rankine, [7] Riley Thilthorpe, [8] Josh Rachele

FF [28] Alex Neal-Bullen, [13] Taylor Walker, [32] Darcy Fogarty

FOL [42] Lachlan McAndrew, [3] Sam Berry, [2] Ben Keays

IC [25] James Peatling, [4] Callum Ah Chee, [10] Luke Pedlar, [14] Jake Soligo, [16] Max Michalanney

EMG [1] Chayce Jones, [43] Reilly O'Brien, [35] James Borlase

Selected team

FB [11] Lachie Jaques, [24] Buku Khamis, [7] Rory Lobb

HB [19] Connor Budarick, [18] James O'Donnell, [31] Bailey Dale

C [42] Sam Davidson, [4] Marcus Bontempelli, [34] Bailey Williams

HF [14] Rhylee West, [10] Sam Darcy, [27] Joel Freijah

FF [16] Jordan Croft, [33] Aaron Naughton, [21] Tom Liberatore

FOL [44] Tim English, [8] Matthew Kennedy, [20] Ed Richards

IC [37] Michael Sellwood, [13] Oskar Baker, [6] Cooper Hynes, [9] Ryley Sanders, [29] Lachlan Bramble

EMG [32] Arthur Jones, [28] Will Lewis, [5] Jedd Busslinger

Ins

[23] Izak Rankine

Ins

[16] Jordan Croft

Outs

Toby Murray - Managed

Outs

[28] Will Lewis - Omitted