AFL Tipping
Round 2 Published Thursday 19 March 2026, 3:31 PM AWST

Round 2

Greater Western Sydney 10th • 1-1
vs
St Kilda 14th • 0-2

Sydney Showground  ·  Sat 21 Mar, 4:15 PM

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Recommendation

Greater Western Sydney  73%

High

Margin: ~10 pts (1–43)

Greater Western Sydney St Kilda
73%
27%

GWS shapes as a tough assignment for the Saints this week, with the Giants holding a clear home-ground advantage at the Showground and enjoying the luxury of staying put while St Kilda cops the travel from Melbourne. The Giants' recent record at headquarters is solid, and they've got the wood on Kilda in the head-to-head stakes, which counts for something. St Kilda will be without some key midfield grunt in Hunter Clark and Jack Macrae, and that's a real problem against a side that likes to win contested ball — GWS should be fresher through the engine room. While the Saints have been sharper on the scoreboard lately, the Giants' combination of home advantage, rest differential, and opposition absences makes them clear favorites at better than even money.

Match summary

Rub of the green · Form

Rub of the green GWS · big edge
GWS Greater Western Sydney +5.4 pts GWS +0.6 · STK -4.9 STK
Form STK · solid edge
GWS Recent margin form is running 7.0 pts better. STK

Umpire Crew

How this crew has historically impacted each side

Rub of the green GWS +0.6 · STK -4.9

Crew lean: Greater Western Sydney +5.4 pts

Greater Western Sydney St Kilda

156 combined team-specific lined samples

Cameron Jones Cameron Jones No. 41 Greater Western Sydney +8.2 pts 3 matches St Kilda -15.6 pts 8 matches Andrew Stephens Andrew Stephens No. 12 Greater Western Sydney +11.2 pts 26 matches St Kilda -2.0 pts 31 matches Brett Rosebury Brett Rosebury No. 8 Greater Western Sydney -6.3 pts 31 matches St Kilda -6.2 pts 12 matches Nick Brown Nick Brown No. 13 Greater Western Sydney -3.1 pts 23 matches St Kilda -4.3 pts 22 matches

Context

WeatherNo forecast yet
Odds Greater Western Sydney: $1.46  ·  St Kilda: $2.75
Market line -14.5
Recent H2H They've split the last 8 meetings 4-4 (Sydney Showground: 1-2)

Injury / Availability

Availability impact looks balanced this week

Greater Western Sydney No major flags
No material impact
Key absences

No listed absences or tests.

Tests / watchlist

No tests listed.

St Kilda 6 out · 3 tests
Minor impact
Key absences
Out
Hunter Clark
Out
Jack Macrae
Out
Liam Henry
Tests / watchlist
Test Liam Ryan Test Mattaes Phillipou Test Rowan Marshall
Injury list
Greater Western Sydney

No listed injury notes.

St Kilda
Out
Hunter Clark 1 week
Out
Jack Macrae 3+ weeks
Out
Liam Henry 3+ weeks
Out
Liam O'Connell 3+ weeks
Out
Paddy Dow 3+ weeks
Out
Ryan Byrnes 3+ weeks
Test
Liam Ryan Test / uncertain
Test
Mattaes Phillipou Test / uncertain
Test
Rowan Marshall Test / uncertain

Performance snapshot

Venue edge plus recent form and season-to-date situational rates.

Venue performance

Sydney Showground

GWS No completed games at Sydney Showground loaded
Win rate —
Avg margin —
St Kilda Based on 5 completed games at Sydney Showground
Win rate 40%
Avg margin -10

Season performance

GWS
Record —
Avg margin —
Upset win % —
Win % vs top 8 —
Home win % vs interstate —
Road win % vs interstate —
St Kilda
Record 0-2
Avg margin -12
Upset win % —
Win % vs top 8 0%
Home win % vs interstate —
Road win % vs interstate —

Last 5 this season

GWS
No completed games yet this season.
St Kilda
L
vs Melbourne -13 · Round 1
L
vs Collingwood -12 · Opening Round

Team selection

Official AFL team sheet · updated Thursday Mar 19, 2026

GWS

St Kilda

Selected team
FB [25] Jayden Laverde, [44] Jack Buckley, [39] Connor Idun
HB [6] Lachie Whitfield, [27] Harry Himmelberg, [7] Lachie Ash
C [9] Ryan Angwin, [10] Clayton Oliver, [1] Harvey Thomas
HF [46] Callum Brown, [11] Phoenix Gothard, [33] Xavier O'Halloran
FF [20] Jake Stringer, [23] Jesse Hogan, [26] Jake Riccardi
FOL [32] Kieren Briggs, [4] Toby Greene, [17] Finn Callaghan
IC [37] Joe Fonti, [24] Harry Rowston, [35] Max Gruzewski, [3] Stephen Coniglio, [38] Josaia Delana
EMG [18] Conor Stone, [30] James Leake, [13] Oliver Hannaford
Selected team
FB [3] Jack Silvagni, [44] Callum Wilkie, [47] Anthony Caminiti
HB [18] Jack Carroll, [8] Bradley Hill, [7] Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera
C [2] Marcus Windhager, [40] Max Hall, [22] Darcy Wilson
HF [34] Hugo Garcia, [32] Mason Wood, [10] Mitch Owens
FF [1] Jack Higgins, [43] Cooper Sharman, [19] Rowan Marshall
FOL [21] Tom De Koning, [9] Sam Flanders, [35] Jack Sinclair
IC [14] Liam Stocker, [25] Mattaes Phillipou, [26] Alix Tauru, [31] Liam Ryan, [38] Hugh Boxshall
EMG [4] Lance Collard, [20] Dougal Howard, [24] Angus Hastie
Ins
None listed
Ins
[19] Rowan Marshall, [14] Liam Stocker
Outs
None listed
Outs
Jack Macrae - Injured, Isaac Keeler - Omitted