Brownlow market

2026 Brownlow forecast

Modelled winner prices and vote ranges compared with the latest Sportsbet market.

Favourite Nick Daicos $4.00 Sportsbet
Best value Max Gawn Model $14.75 vs $101.00 SB
Players priced 64 Sportsbet market runners
Last updated Latest market capture

Market board

Winner probabilities and projected votes

Sportsbet-priced players only
Rank Player Exp. votes Win %
#26
Shai Bolton Fremantle · 0 left
10.1 59 0.3% $331.13 $101.00 —
#27
Max Holmes Geelong · 0 left
10.5 65 0.2% $413.22 $81.00 —
#28
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera St Kilda · 0 left
12.7 68 0.2% $501+ $21.00 —
#29
Harley Reid West Coast · 0 left
9.4 60 0.2% $501+ $67.00 —
#30
Noah Anderson Gold Coast · 0 left
6.9 0 0.1% $501+ $34.00 —
#31
Toby Greene GWS · 0 left
8.6 43 0.1% $501+ $501.00 —
#32
Jack Steele Melbourne · 0 left
6.0 22 0.1% $501+ $501.00 —
#33
Finn Callaghan GWS · 0 left
7.7 42 0.1% $501+ $51.00 —
#34
Zach Merrett Essendon · 0 left
7.6 25 0.1% $501+ $34.00 —
#35
Max Hall St Kilda · 0 left
8.4 49 0.1% $501+ $251.00 —
#36
Tom Sparrow Melbourne · 0 left
7.3 47 0.1% $501+ $501.00 —
#37
George Hewett Carlton · 0 left
8.2 39 0.1% $501+ $501.00 —
#38
Tim Taranto Richmond · 0 left
7.7 41 0.1% $501+ $251.00 —
#39
Josh Treacy Fremantle · 0 left
7.0 39 0.1% $501+ $501.00 —
#42
Christian Petracca Gold Coast · 0 left
7.0 0 0.0% $501+ $81.00 —
#43
Touk Miller Gold Coast · 0 left
5.9 0 0.0% $501+ $251.00 —
#44
Jagga Smith Carlton · 0 left
6.0 59 0.0% $501+ $81.00 —
#45
Jordan de Goey Collingwood · 0 left
5.9 41 0.0% $501+ $251.00 —
#50
Josh Daicos Collingwood · 0 left
5.2 31 0.0% $501+ $501.00 —
#52
Murphy Reid Fremantle · 0 left
5.9 51 0.0% $501+ $101.00 —
#54
Charlie Curnow Sydney · 0 left
6.9 40 0.0% $501+ $501.00 —
#55
Tristan Xerri North Melbourne · 0 left
6.2 37 0.0% $501+ $251.00 —
#59
Sam Berry Adelaide · 0 left
6.1 37 0.0% $501+ $501.00 —
#66
Matt Rowell Gold Coast · 0 left
5.2 0 0.0% $501+ $51.00 —
#68
Tim Kelly West Coast · 0 left
3.8 18 0.0% $501+ $501.00 —
#69
Nick Watson Hawthorn · 0 left
4.2 41 0.0% $501+ $251.00 —
#72
Ollie Wines Port Adelaide · 0 left
3.2 8 0.0% $501+ $501.00 —
#79
Scott Pendlebury Collingwood · 0 left
4.3 15 0.0% $501+ $501.00 —
#81
Josh Dunkley Brisbane Lions · 0 left
3.8 18 0.0% $501+ $501.00 —
#94
Errol Gulden Sydney · 0 left
9.8 54 0.0% — $9.00 —
#97
Jeremy Cameron Geelong · 0 left
5.0 15 0.0% — $501.00 —
#98
Justin McInerney Sydney · 0 left
4.8 28 0.0% — $501.00 —
#110
Sam Durham Essendon · 0 left
3.3 26 0.0% — $251.00 —
#111
Patrick Dangerfield Geelong · 0 left
3.3 16 0.0% — $501.00 —
#114
Will Day Hawthorn · 0 left
3.2 19 0.0% — $101.00 —
#146
Hugh McCluggage Brisbane Lions · 0 left
2.4 13 0.0% — $101.00 —
#172
Hayden Young Fremantle · 0 left
2.0 5 0.0% — $101.00 —
#205
Tom De Koning St Kilda · 0 left
1.5 7 0.0% — $501.00 —
#328
Sam Darcy Western Bulldogs · 0 left
0.7 3 0.0% — $501.00 —