Brownlow market

2026 Brownlow forecast

Modelled winner prices and vote ranges compared with the latest Sportsbet market.

Favourite Nick Daicos $1.62 Sportsbet

Best value Max Gawn Model $21.42 vs $151.00 SB

Players priced 39 Sportsbet market runners

Last updated Tue 14 Jul, 4:32 AM Latest market capture

Market board

Winner probabilities and projected votes

Sportsbet-priced players only

Rank

Player

Exp. votes

Win %

Nick Daicos Collingwood · 6 left

30.4

106

42.1%

$2.38

$1.62

LAY ▼

Round detail

Nick Daicos

22.9 current · 7.5 future · 10–90%: 17–44 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 16	RichmondHome · MCG	W by 34	2.42	10	98.5%	71.9%	37 disp · 3 goals · 7 clr · 11 contested
Round 11	West CoastHome · MCG	W by 10	2.39	10	98.0%	70.1%	34 disp · 3 goals · 7 clr · 9 contested
Round 3	GWSHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 33	2.30	10	96.6%	64.6%	36 disp · 2 goals · 6 clr · 12 contested
Round 6	CarltonAway · MCG	W by 5	2.26	10	96.0%	63.3%	39 disp · 1 goal · 8 clr · 16 contested
Round 15	Port AdelaideHome · MCG	W by 27	2.17	9	95.1%	56.0%	41 disp · 1 goal · 9 clr · 14 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	CarltonHome	MCG	1.36	68.9%	31.1%
Round 20	AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	1.29	65.0%	29.5%
Round 21	GeelongHome	MCG	1.16	60.7%	24.3%
Round 22	West CoastAway	Optus Stadium	1.41	71.2%	32.3%
Round 23	HawthornAway	MCG	1.09	56.7%	23.5%
Round 24	Brisbane LionsHome	MCG	1.18	59.9%	26.3%

Marcus Bontempelli Western Bulldogs · 6 left

20.1

8.4%

$11.87

$10.00

LAY ▼

Round detail

Marcus Bontempelli

15.4 current · 4.7 future · 10–90%: 9–32 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 1	GWSHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 81	2.09	10	93.1%	53.2%	33 disp · 3 goals · 6 clr · 14 contested
Round 15	St KildaAway · Marvel Stadium	W by 22	1.96	10	87.8%	49.6%	34 disp · 1 goal · 13 clr · 15 contested
Round 9	Port AdelaideAway · Adelaide Oval	W by 2	1.90	9	85.8%	47.5%	30 disp · 1 goal · 7 clr · 9 contested
Round 4	EssendonHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 34	1.81	9	85.6%	41.3%	35 disp · 1 goal · 7 clr · 10 contested
Round 11	MelbourneHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 3	1.65	8	82.7%	32.9%	29 disp · 2 goals · 6 clr · 17 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	Gold CoastAway	Carrara	0.62	32.9%	11.5%
Round 20	RichmondHome	Marvel Stadium	0.97	48.9%	20.4%
Round 21	FremantleAway	Optus Stadium	0.78	39.8%	15.2%
Round 22	North MelbourneHome	Marvel Stadium	0.74	39.1%	13.3%
Round 23	CarltonHome	Marvel Stadium	0.81	42.5%	15.8%
Round 24	MelbourneAway	MCG	0.82	42.2%	15.8%

Isaac Heeney Sydney · 6 left

19.8

8.2%

$12.14

$13.00

-1%

Round detail

Isaac Heeney

14.9 current · 4.9 future · 10–90%: 9–32 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 5	Gold CoastHome · Norwood Oval	W by 32	2.34	10	96.9%	65.9%	33 disp · 2 goals · 10 clr · 18 contested
Round 12	RichmondHome · SCG	W by 114	2.26	10	96.6%	60.3%	32 disp · 5 goals · 5 clr · 11 contested
Round 4	West CoastAway · Optus Stadium	W by 128	1.83	9	86.3%	41.3%	26 disp · 4 goals · 4 clr · 10 contested
Round 13	St KildaHome · SCG	W by 2	1.62	10	77.3%	36.1%	30 disp · 2 goals · 8 clr · 11 contested
Round 14	Port AdelaideAway · Adelaide Oval	W by 3	1.29	10	64.7%	26.3%	30 disp · 1 goal · 3 clr · 9 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	AdelaideHome	SCG	0.96	49.1%	19.7%
Round 20	GWSAway	ENGIE Stadium	0.70	36.6%	14.3%
Round 21	St KildaAway	Marvel Stadium	0.76	40.0%	14.8%
Round 22	Port AdelaideHome	SCG	0.85	44.1%	17.0%
Round 23	EssendonAway	MCG	0.85	44.4%	17.4%
Round 24	North MelbourneHome	SCG	0.82	43.4%	16.7%

Bailey Smith Geelong · 6 left

18.1

5.7%

$17.42

$15.00

LAY ▼

Round detail

Bailey Smith

13.5 current · 4.6 future · 10–90%: 7–30 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 9	CollingwoodHome · MCG	W by 54	2.09	10	91.1%	53.5%	40 disp · 0 goals · 6 clr · 14 contested
Round 3	AdelaideHome · Kardinia Park	W by 8	1.93	9	86.5%	46.4%	40 disp · 0 goals · 6 clr · 16 contested
Round 10	Brisbane LionsAway · Gabba	W by 41	1.76	7	86.5%	34.8%	34 disp · 2 goals · 7 clr · 12 contested
Round 5	West CoastHome · Norwood Oval	W by 46	1.76	9	82.2%	40.0%	34 disp · 1 goal · 7 clr · 11 contested
Round 6	Western BulldogsHome · Kardinia Park	W by 75	1.52	6	82.0%	22.0%	33 disp · 1 goal · 11 clr · 16 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	St KildaHome	Kardinia Park	0.89	46.1%	17.7%
Round 20	MelbourneAway	MCG	0.69	37.4%	12.7%
Round 21	CollingwoodAway	MCG	0.64	34.9%	11.8%
Round 22	EssendonHome	Kardinia Park	0.83	43.2%	16.9%
Round 23	North MelbourneAway	Marvel Stadium	0.65	35.1%	11.9%
Round 24	RichmondHome	Kardinia Park	0.85	44.5%	17.0%

Max Gawn Melbourne · 6 left

16.2

4.7%

$21.42

$151.00

BACK ▲

Round detail

Max Gawn

12.3 current · 3.9 future · 10–90%: 5–29 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 4	Gold CoastHome · MCG	W by 20	1.84	10	84.6%	40.1%	22 disp · 1 goal · 4 clr · 16 contested
Round 14	EssendonHome · MCG	W by 45	1.43	8	73.7%	24.1%	24 disp · 2 goals · 10 clr · 14 contested
Round 15	AdelaideAway · Adelaide Oval	L by 17	1.25	8	60.2%	25.8%	28 disp · 0 goals · 7 clr · 15 contested
Round 1	St KildaHome · MCG	W by 13	1.17	7	57.6%	22.5%	22 disp · 1 goal · 5 clr · 13 contested
Round 3	CarltonAway · MCG	W by 23	1.14	6	58.9%	19.4%	23 disp · 0 goals · 6 clr · 13 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	North MelbourneAway	Marvel Stadium	0.50	25.6%	9.7%
Round 20	GeelongHome	MCG	0.70	36.2%	13.5%
Round 21	Gold CoastAway	Carrara	0.65	34.3%	12.2%
Round 22	FremantleHome	MCG	0.69	35.5%	13.4%
Round 23	Port AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.71	36.6%	13.6%
Round 24	Western BulldogsHome	MCG	0.67	34.8%	12.5%

Harry Sheezel North Melbourne · 6 left

16.6

4.4%

$22.88

$67.00

BACK ▲

Round detail

Harry Sheezel

12.7 current · 3.9 future · 10–90%: 6–28 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 6	RichmondHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 75	2.19	10	93.5%	56.4%	39 disp · 1 goal · 7 clr · 16 contested
Round 16	EssendonHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 14	2.08	10	90.8%	51.6%	43 disp · 0 goals · 4 clr · 13 contested
Round 14	West CoastHome · Optus Stadium	W by 1	1.66	5	77.7%	36.9%	33 disp · 1 goal · 10 clr · 15 contested
Round 17	Port AdelaideAway · Adelaide Oval	L by 21	1.16	1	59.5%	22.6%	40 disp · 1 goal · 6 clr · 12 contested
Round 15	RichmondAway · MCG	W by 25	0.97	6	52.1%	16.3%	31 disp · 0 goals · 5 clr · 12 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	MelbourneHome	Marvel Stadium	0.82	41.9%	15.5%
Round 20	St KildaHome	Marvel Stadium	0.64	32.7%	12.1%
Round 21	HawthornAway	UTAS Stadium	0.57	30.0%	9.7%
Round 22	Western BulldogsAway	Marvel Stadium	0.66	34.2%	12.7%
Round 23	GeelongHome	Marvel Stadium	0.68	34.8%	13.4%
Round 24	SydneyAway	SCG	0.54	28.4%	9.9%

Patrick Cripps Carlton · 6 left

15.9

3.2%

$31.51

$34.00

-2%

Round detail

Patrick Cripps

12.6 current · 3.3 future · 10–90%: 6–27 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 10	Western BulldogsHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 12	2.04	9	90.3%	50.4%	29 disp · 2 goals · 8 clr · 17 contested
Round 16	West CoastHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 53	1.90	9	86.3%	44.7%	31 disp · 1 goal · 9 clr · 16 contested
Round 11	Port AdelaideAway · Adelaide Oval	W by 34	1.76	10	83.5%	39.4%	32 disp · 1 goal · 8 clr · 17 contested
Round 12	GeelongHome · MCG	W by 4	1.69	10	79.0%	38.9%	30 disp · 1 goal · 8 clr · 15 contested
Round 1	RichmondHome · MCG	W by 4	1.17	6	58.8%	23.4%	32 disp · 0 goals · 9 clr · 19 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	CollingwoodAway	MCG	0.38	20.3%	6.5%
Round 20	Gold CoastHome	Marvel Stadium	0.64	32.9%	11.5%
Round 21	Brisbane LionsHome	Marvel Stadium	0.58	29.6%	11.8%
Round 22	St KildaAway	Marvel Stadium	0.57	29.1%	10.5%
Round 23	Western BulldogsAway	Marvel Stadium	0.57	29.2%	10.9%
Round 24	FremantleHome	Marvel Stadium	0.61	31.8%	11.5%

Clayton Oliver GWS · 6 left

13.7

2.8%

$35.54

$151.00

BACK ▲

Round detail

Clayton Oliver

10.2 current · 3.6 future · 10–90%: 4–26 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 11	Brisbane LionsHome · ENGIE Stadium	W by 78	1.70	9	77.7%	37.3%	37 disp · 0 goals · 11 clr · 23 contested
Opening Round	HawthornHome · ENGIE Stadium	W by 27	1.20	7	59.6%	22.4%	26 disp · 1 goal · 10 clr · 19 contested
Round 10	West CoastAway · Optus Stadium	L by 17	1.11	6	61.2%	14.2%	38 disp · 0 goals · 12 clr · 24 contested
Round 5	RichmondHome · Barossa Park	W by 56	0.78	6	40.7%	13.3%	31 disp · 0 goals · 8 clr · 15 contested
Round 6	SydneyAway · SCG	L by 41	0.73	6	37.9%	12.3%	37 disp · 0 goals · 9 clr · 18 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	EssendonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.41	21.9%	7.4%
Round 20	SydneyHome	ENGIE Stadium	0.53	27.5%	10.0%
Round 21	Port AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.65	33.4%	13.0%
Round 22	Gold CoastHome	Manuka Oval	0.64	33.1%	11.7%
Round 23	West CoastHome	ENGIE Stadium	0.70	35.7%	14.0%
Round 24	AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.63	32.1%	12.7%

#10

Lachie Neale Brisbane Lions · 6 left

15.1

2.7%

$37.59

$41.00

-1%

Round detail

Lachie Neale

11.5 current · 3.6 future · 10–90%: 6–26 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 9	CarltonHome · Gabba	W by 11	2.05	9	89.6%	51.4%	33 disp · 1 goal · 9 clr · 16 contested
Round 7	AdelaideHome · Gabba	W by 52	1.98	10	89.2%	46.4%	42 disp · 0 goals · 4 clr · 12 contested
Round 13	Gold CoastAway · Carrara	W by 31	1.71	8	84.0%	32.5%	37 disp · 0 goals · 10 clr · 19 contested
Round 5	North MelbourneAway · Barossa Park	W by 26	1.63	10	77.0%	34.9%	30 disp · 0 goals · 10 clr · 20 contested
Opening Round	Western BulldogsHome · Gabba	L by 5	0.81	4	43.0%	14.1%	39 disp · 0 goals · 8 clr · 15 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	West CoastAway	Optus Stadium	0.48	24.7%	8.9%
Round 20	Port AdelaideHome	Gabba	0.67	33.6%	12.7%
Round 21	CarltonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.62	30.5%	12.0%
Round 22	HawthornHome	Gabba	0.64	32.0%	12.1%
Round 23	Gold CoastHome	Gabba	0.67	34.0%	12.7%
Round 24	CollingwoodAway	MCG	0.51	26.7%	8.7%

#11

Luke Jackson Fremantle · 6 left

14.7

2.6%

$37.74

$21.00

LAY ▼

Round detail

Luke Jackson

11.9 current · 2.8 future · 10–90%: 5–25 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 15	GeelongHome · Optus Stadium	W by 9	2.46	10	98.5%	70.4%	28 disp · 3 goals · 6 clr · 15 contested
Round 9	HawthornHome · Optus Stadium	W by 15	1.69	10	79.3%	37.7%	22 disp · 0 goals · 7 clr · 18 contested
Round 7	CarltonHome · Optus Stadium	W by 14	1.18	9	60.5%	21.6%	21 disp · 2 goals · 3 clr · 9 contested
Round 13	North MelbourneAway · Hands Oval	W by 124	1.17	10	59.2%	22.7%	19 disp · 3 goals · 4 clr · 5 contested
Round 1	GeelongAway · Kardinia Park	L by 10	0.91	7	47.5%	16.3%	27 disp · 1 goal · 10 clr · 18 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	Port AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.31	15.9%	5.6%
Round 20	West CoastHome	Optus Stadium	0.58	29.7%	10.2%
Round 21	Western BulldogsHome	Optus Stadium	0.46	24.1%	8.0%
Round 22	MelbourneAway	MCG	0.49	24.9%	8.2%
Round 23	AdelaideHome	Optus Stadium	0.47	24.2%	8.0%
Round 24	CarltonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.47	24.0%	8.2%

#13

Jai Newcombe Hawthorn · 6 left

14.7

2.4%

$42.09

$41.00

▼ -12%

Round detail

Jai Newcombe

11.7 current · 3.0 future · 10–90%: 5–25 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 15	Gold CoastAway · Carrara	W by 16	1.83	8	83.3%	45.8%	31 disp · 2 goals · 10 clr · 17 contested
Round 5	Western BulldogsHome · Adelaide Oval	W by 40	1.60	10	76.7%	35.6%	28 disp · 1 goal · 14 clr · 19 contested
Round 7	Gold CoastHome · UTAS Stadium	W by 49	1.51	9	72.5%	34.1%	30 disp · 0 goals · 12 clr · 20 contested
Round 16	GWSHome · MCG	W by 14	1.46	10	71.8%	32.1%	31 disp · 0 goals · 15 clr · 21 contested
Round 13	Western BulldogsHome · MCG	L by 6	1.39	10	69.6%	29.2%	36 disp · 0 goals · 9 clr · 18 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	RichmondAway	MCG	0.36	19.3%	7.0%
Round 20	EssendonHome	MCG	0.50	25.9%	9.7%
Round 21	North MelbourneHome	UTAS Stadium	0.59	30.2%	11.3%
Round 22	Brisbane LionsAway	Gabba	0.40	22.0%	7.2%
Round 23	CollingwoodHome	MCG	0.45	24.0%	8.5%
Round 24	West CoastAway	Optus Stadium	0.70	36.1%	13.9%

#14

Jordan Dawson Adelaide · 6 left

15.0

1.8%

$54.11

$13.00

LAY ▼

Round detail

Jordan Dawson

10.9 current · 4.1 future · 10–90%: 6–25 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 14	Western BulldogsAway · Marvel Stadium	W by 57	2.40	10	98.1%	68.9%	32 disp · 3 goals · 7 clr · 17 contested
Round 17	West CoastAway · Optus Stadium	W by 25	1.85	10	84.2%	45.2%	27 disp · 1 goal · 6 clr · 10 contested
Round 13	GeelongHome · Adelaide Oval	W by 1	1.82	10	83.1%	44.3%	22 disp · 3 goals · 1 clr · 8 contested
Round 10	North MelbourneHome · Adelaide Oval	W by 68	1.31	10	66.1%	26.3%	24 disp · 1 goal · 4 clr · 8 contested
Round 9	RichmondAway · MCG	W by 37	1.17	7	62.3%	21.2%	29 disp · 1 goal · 3 clr · 10 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	SydneyAway	SCG	0.38	20.4%	6.6%
Round 20	CollingwoodHome	Adelaide Oval	0.65	34.7%	11.7%
Round 21	EssendonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.75	38.4%	14.4%
Round 22	RichmondHome	Adelaide Oval	0.95	48.0%	18.6%
Round 23	FremantleAway	Optus Stadium	0.67	34.7%	13.2%
Round 24	GWSHome	Adelaide Oval	0.68	35.3%	12.9%

#15

Max Holmes Geelong · 6 left

13.0

1.6%

$60.90

$81.00

BACK ▲ +20%

Round detail

Max Holmes

10.2 current · 2.9 future · 10–90%: 4–23 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 14	Gold CoastHome · Kardinia Park	W by 45	1.81	10	83.2%	42.6%	31 disp · 1 goal · 4 clr · 8 contested
Round 8	North MelbourneHome · Kardinia Park	W by 49	1.70	10	79.5%	37.8%	29 disp · 2 goals · 4 clr · 9 contested
Round 11	SydneyHome · Kardinia Park	W by 27	1.42	9	69.7%	29.3%	35 disp · 0 goals · 8 clr · 13 contested
Round 1	FremantleHome · Kardinia Park	W by 10	1.15	8	58.2%	22.6%	32 disp · 0 goals · 5 clr · 11 contested
Round 5	West CoastHome · Norwood Oval	W by 46	1.00	9	53.4%	16.9%	34 disp · 0 goals · 3 clr · 8 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	St KildaHome	Kardinia Park	0.58	28.8%	9.9%
Round 20	MelbourneAway	MCG	0.43	21.2%	7.4%
Round 21	CollingwoodAway	MCG	0.35	17.6%	5.7%
Round 22	EssendonHome	Kardinia Park	0.53	26.5%	8.5%
Round 23	North MelbourneAway	Marvel Stadium	0.44	21.2%	7.6%
Round 24	RichmondHome	Kardinia Park	0.56	28.2%	9.1%

#16

Brodie Grundy Sydney · 6 left

12.2

0.8%

$120.77

$251.00

BACK ▲ +89%

Round detail

Brodie Grundy

9.8 current · 2.5 future · 10–90%: 4–21 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 10	CollingwoodHome · SCG	W by 6	2.16	10	93.8%	52.7%	34 disp · 1 goal · 12 clr · 24 contested
Round 8	MelbourneHome · SCG	W by 17	1.67	8	77.4%	36.6%	26 disp · 1 goal · 11 clr · 15 contested
Round 4	West CoastAway · Optus Stadium	W by 128	1.55	9	76.7%	29.0%	28 disp · 1 goal · 9 clr · 18 contested
Round 7	Western BulldogsAway · Marvel Stadium	W by 66	0.84	6	46.2%	12.9%	18 disp · 2 goals · 2 clr · 13 contested
Round 6	GWSHome · SCG	W by 41	0.80	4	41.7%	14.6%	27 disp · 0 goals · 7 clr · 11 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	AdelaideHome	SCG	0.48	24.8%	7.8%
Round 20	GWSAway	ENGIE Stadium	0.37	18.7%	6.5%
Round 21	St KildaAway	Marvel Stadium	0.40	20.6%	6.6%
Round 22	Port AdelaideHome	SCG	0.41	20.8%	7.5%
Round 23	EssendonAway	MCG	0.40	20.3%	7.1%
Round 24	North MelbourneHome	SCG	0.40	20.7%	6.7%

#17

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera St Kilda · 6 left

12.5

0.8%

$126.58

$67.00

LAY ▼

Round detail

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera

8.9 current · 3.6 future · 10–90%: 4–22 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 17	EssendonAway · Marvel Stadium	W by 67	2.15	10	93.5%	54.7%	46 disp · 1 goal · 1 clr · 10 contested
Round 5	Port AdelaideAway · Adelaide Oval	W by 14	1.72	9	81.8%	37.9%	28 disp · 2 goals · 6 clr · 13 contested
Round 14	GWSHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 8	1.23	9	61.3%	25.0%	32 disp · 1 goal · 4 clr · 9 contested
Round 7	West CoastHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 101	1.02	7	53.0%	19.3%	34 disp · 0 goals · 3 clr · 11 contested
Round 15	Western BulldogsHome · Marvel Stadium	L by 22	0.90	7	50.5%	13.5%	44 disp · 1 goal · 1 clr · 7 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	GeelongAway	Kardinia Park	0.35	18.8%	5.7%
Round 20	North MelbourneAway	Marvel Stadium	0.63	31.6%	11.4%
Round 21	SydneyHome	Marvel Stadium	0.53	27.5%	9.3%
Round 22	CarltonHome	Marvel Stadium	0.64	32.0%	12.2%
Round 23	RichmondAway	MCG	0.79	39.9%	14.8%
Round 24	Gold CoastHome	Marvel Stadium	0.70	35.2%	13.0%

#18

Sam Walsh Carlton · 6 left

10.0

0.8%

$128.53

$251.00

BACK ▲ +78%

Round detail

Sam Walsh

7.7 current · 2.3 future · 10–90%: 2–19 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 15	GWSAway · ENGIE Stadium	W by 23	1.34	8	66.0%	25.1%	34 disp · 1 goal · 5 clr · 9 contested
Round 1	RichmondHome · MCG	W by 4	1.24	10	60.2%	23.3%	30 disp · 0 goals · 6 clr · 9 contested
Round 16	West CoastHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 53	0.92	8	48.8%	14.8%	33 disp · 0 goals · 5 clr · 9 contested
Round 12	GeelongHome · MCG	W by 4	0.82	4	43.0%	13.4%	30 disp · 0 goals · 7 clr · 11 contested
Round 7	FremantleAway · Optus Stadium	L by 14	0.68	5	36.0%	10.8%	32 disp · 1 goal · 4 clr · 12 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	CollingwoodAway	MCG	0.27	13.9%	4.5%
Round 20	Gold CoastHome	Marvel Stadium	0.42	21.4%	7.0%
Round 21	Brisbane LionsHome	Marvel Stadium	0.41	21.1%	6.7%
Round 22	St KildaAway	Marvel Stadium	0.36	18.7%	6.4%
Round 23	Western BulldogsAway	Marvel Stadium	0.38	19.3%	6.6%
Round 24	FremantleHome	Marvel Stadium	0.45	22.9%	8.2%

#19

Kysaiah Pickett Melbourne · 6 left

12.2

0.7%

$146.20

$31.00

LAY ▼

Round detail

Kysaiah Pickett

9.9 current · 2.4 future · 10–90%: 5–21 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 7	RichmondAway · MCG	W by 54	2.14	10	92.2%	54.1%	29 disp · 4 goals · 6 clr · 7 contested
Round 14	EssendonHome · MCG	W by 45	2.03	10	90.8%	47.1%	32 disp · 3 goals · 4 clr · 9 contested
Round 3	CarltonAway · MCG	W by 23	1.71	10	80.3%	37.3%	33 disp · 1 goal · 6 clr · 11 contested
Round 13	CollingwoodAway · MCG	W by 8	1.63	10	78.0%	33.0%	28 disp · 3 goals · 5 clr · 9 contested
Round 4	Gold CoastHome · MCG	W by 20	0.77	6	42.4%	12.0%	25 disp · 1 goal · 6 clr · 10 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	North MelbourneAway	Marvel Stadium	0.29	14.5%	4.6%
Round 20	GeelongHome	MCG	0.37	17.9%	6.0%
Round 21	Gold CoastAway	Carrara	0.43	21.1%	7.3%
Round 22	FremantleHome	MCG	0.43	21.1%	7.0%
Round 23	Port AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.45	22.1%	7.2%
Round 24	Western BulldogsHome	MCG	0.40	19.7%	6.6%

#20

Will Ashcroft Brisbane Lions · 6 left

11.4

0.5%

$201.61

$101.00

—

Round detail

Will Ashcroft

9.2 current · 2.2 future · 10–90%: 4–20 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 14	RichmondAway · Blundstone Arena	W by 35	2.10	10	92.1%	52.1%	38 disp · 2 goals · 8 clr · 9 contested
Round 4	CollingwoodHome · Gabba	W by 54	1.83	10	83.4%	42.4%	36 disp · 1 goal · 6 clr · 15 contested
Round 17	GeelongAway · Kardinia Park	W by 22	1.22	9	60.0%	25.6%	32 disp · 0 goals · 6 clr · 13 contested
Round 3	St KildaAway · Marvel Stadium	W by 33	1.14	9	58.5%	21.6%	31 disp · 0 goals · 10 clr · 11 contested
Round 16	SydneyHome · Gabba	W by 43	1.06	8	55.3%	19.9%	30 disp · 0 goals · 8 clr · 11 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	West CoastAway	Optus Stadium	0.28	14.4%	5.1%
Round 20	Port AdelaideHome	Gabba	0.42	21.8%	7.5%
Round 21	CarltonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.37	18.6%	6.6%
Round 22	HawthornHome	Gabba	0.40	20.6%	6.8%
Round 23	Gold CoastHome	Gabba	0.44	22.4%	8.1%
Round 24	CollingwoodAway	MCG	0.31	15.6%	5.7%

#21

Christian Petracca Gold Coast · 6 left

9.7

0.5%

$210.97

$81.00

—

Round detail

Christian Petracca

6.5 current · 3.2 future · 10–90%: 2–19 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Opening Round	GeelongHome · Carrara	W by 56	1.57	-	73.6%	34.6%	34 disp · 3 goals · 6 clr · 15 contested
Round 1	West CoastHome · Carrara	W by 59	1.18	-	58.4%	24.2%	23 disp · 4 goals · 6 clr · 12 contested
Round 8	GWSHome · Carrara	W by 20	0.94	-	47.2%	18.6%	29 disp · 2 goals · 6 clr · 13 contested
Round 6	EssendonHome · Carrara	W by 9	0.67	-	36.4%	11.8%	25 disp · 3 goals · 6 clr · 12 contested
Round 10	Port AdelaideHome · TIO Stadium	W by 25	0.48	-	25.8%	8.5%	27 disp · 1 goal · 9 clr · 15 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	Western BulldogsHome	Carrara	0.60	31.1%	10.0%
Round 20	CarltonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.55	27.5%	10.3%
Round 21	MelbourneHome	Carrara	0.54	27.7%	8.9%
Round 22	GWSAway	Manuka Oval	0.53	26.9%	9.4%
Round 23	Brisbane LionsAway	Gabba	0.48	24.7%	8.7%
Round 24	St KildaAway	Marvel Stadium	0.50	24.8%	9.0%

#22

Luke Davies-Uniacke North Melbourne · 6 left

9.5

0.5%

$215.52

$101.00

—

Round detail

Luke Davies-Uniacke

7.5 current · 2.0 future · 10–90%: 2–18 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 11	Gold CoastHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 6	1.32	5	63.1%	26.6%	30 disp · 1 goal · 7 clr · 10 contested
Round 9	SydneyHome · Marvel Stadium	L by 8	1.09	10	54.2%	20.7%	34 disp · 0 goals · 6 clr · 12 contested
Round 16	EssendonHome · Marvel Stadium	W by 14	0.83	7	46.5%	11.8%	25 disp · 1 goal · 10 clr · 11 contested
Round 3	EssendonAway · Marvel Stadium	W by 12	0.79	3	40.5%	14.2%	31 disp · 0 goals · 4 clr · 11 contested
Round 17	Port AdelaideAway · Adelaide Oval	L by 21	0.76	5	39.8%	12.4%	31 disp · 1 goal · 7 clr · 16 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	MelbourneHome	Marvel Stadium	0.44	22.6%	7.0%
Round 20	St KildaHome	Marvel Stadium	0.36	17.9%	5.6%
Round 21	HawthornAway	UTAS Stadium	0.32	16.1%	5.7%
Round 22	Western BulldogsAway	Marvel Stadium	0.31	16.1%	5.0%
Round 23	GeelongHome	Marvel Stadium	0.33	17.0%	5.4%
Round 24	SydneyAway	SCG	0.26	12.9%	4.5%

#23

Shai Bolton Fremantle · 6 left

10.2

0.5%

$219.30

$151.00

—

Round detail

Shai Bolton

8.4 current · 1.8 future · 10–90%: 3–19 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 7	CarltonHome · Optus Stadium	W by 14	1.69	9	79.6%	35.7%	33 disp · 2 goals · 4 clr · 11 contested
Round 2	MelbourneHome · Optus Stadium	W by 48	1.58	10	74.7%	33.3%	32 disp · 2 goals · 9 clr · 15 contested
Round 8	Western BulldogsAway · Marvel Stadium	W by 12	1.22	10	60.1%	23.6%	30 disp · 1 goal · 9 clr · 15 contested
Round 10	EssendonAway · MCG	W by 43	0.98	8	49.1%	18.6%	24 disp · 2 goals · 3 clr · 4 contested
Round 3	RichmondHome · Optus Stadium	W by 60	0.85	6	47.5%	12.9%	33 disp · 0 goals · 4 clr · 11 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	Port AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.19	10.2%	3.1%
Round 20	West CoastHome	Optus Stadium	0.40	19.9%	6.8%
Round 21	Western BulldogsHome	Optus Stadium	0.31	15.7%	5.0%
Round 22	MelbourneAway	MCG	0.30	15.3%	5.2%
Round 23	AdelaideHome	Optus Stadium	0.32	16.4%	5.4%
Round 24	CarltonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.28	14.1%	4.6%

#24

Finn Callaghan GWS · 6 left

9.7

0.4%

$245.10

$251.00

—

Round detail

Finn Callaghan

7.4 current · 2.3 future · 10–90%: 3–18 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 12	MelbourneAway · Traeger Park	W by 49	1.86	10	82.8%	43.0%	31 disp · 2 goals · 4 clr · 8 contested
Round 5	RichmondHome · Barossa Park	W by 56	1.67	10	77.7%	35.9%	37 disp · 0 goals · 6 clr · 17 contested
Round 8	Gold CoastAway · Carrara	L by 20	0.67	4	34.0%	12.0%	28 disp · 0 goals · 7 clr · 10 contested
Round 9	EssendonHome · ENGIE Stadium	W by 14	0.64	5	32.6%	11.7%	30 disp · 0 goals · 6 clr · 10 contested
Round 16	HawthornAway · MCG	L by 14	0.55	1	29.2%	9.2%	34 disp · 1 goal · 4 clr · 9 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	EssendonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.29	14.8%	5.1%
Round 20	SydneyHome	ENGIE Stadium	0.36	17.6%	6.0%
Round 21	Port AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.37	19.1%	6.0%
Round 22	Gold CoastHome	Manuka Oval	0.41	20.7%	7.1%
Round 23	West CoastHome	ENGIE Stadium	0.48	23.7%	8.2%
Round 24	AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.35	17.6%	5.7%

#25

Andrew Brayshaw Fremantle · 6 left

9.3

0.3%

$292.40

$101.00

—

Round detail

Andrew Brayshaw

7.4 current · 1.9 future · 10–90%: 2–18 votes

Best completed estimates

Round	Opponent	Result	Model	AFLCA	Vote chance	3-vote chance	Performance
Round 16	Gold CoastHome · Optus Stadium	W by 51	1.81	10	81.6%	40.2%	29 disp · 1 goal · 1 clr · 4 contested
Round 15	GeelongHome · Optus Stadium	W by 9	1.14	8	64.3%	11.8%	35 disp · 0 goals · 4 clr · 9 contested
Round 2	MelbourneHome · Optus Stadium	W by 48	1.04	6	54.2%	18.1%	39 disp · 1 goal · 1 clr · 5 contested
Round 13	North MelbourneAway · Hands Oval	W by 124	0.89	8	45.3%	15.2%	30 disp · 0 goals · 9 clr · 13 contested
Round 4	AdelaideAway · Adelaide Oval	W by 2	0.75	4	38.4%	13.0%	25 disp · 1 goal · 7 clr · 11 contested

Remaining fixtures

Round	Opponent	Venue	Votes	Vote chance	3-vote chance
Round 19	Port AdelaideAway	Adelaide Oval	0.20	10.8%	3.0%
Round 20	West CoastHome	Optus Stadium	0.42	21.0%	7.8%
Round 21	Western BulldogsHome	Optus Stadium	0.34	16.8%	5.9%
Round 22	MelbourneAway	MCG	0.32	16.6%	5.4%
Round 23	AdelaideHome	Optus Stadium	0.35	17.9%	5.6%
Round 24	CarltonAway	Marvel Stadium	0.31	15.1%	5.5%

#26

Harley Reid West Coast · 6 left

9.4

0.3%

$352.11

$251.00

—

#27

Chad Warner Sydney · 6 left

8.1

0.3%

$370.37

$101.00

—

#28

Noah Anderson Gold Coast · 6 left

7.8

0.3%

$375.94

$251.00

—

#29

Zach Merrett Essendon · 6 left

8.1

0.2%

$420.17

$501.00

—

#32

Caleb Serong Fremantle · 6 left

8.8

0.2%

$501+

$501.00

—

#34

Ed Richards Western Bulldogs · 6 left

8.0

0.1%

$501+

$151.00

—

#37

Jack Steele Melbourne · 6 left

5.7

0.1%

$501+

$501.00

—

#40

Murphy Reid Fremantle · 6 left

5.4

0.0%

$501+

$101.00

—

#41

Josh Treacy Fremantle · 6 left

6.3

0.0%

$501+

$501.00

—

#45

Touk Miller Gold Coast · 6 left

5.1

0.0%

$501+

$501.00

—

#46

Nick Blakey Sydney · 6 left

5.8

0.0%

$501+

$501.00

—

#58

Jagga Smith Carlton · 6 left

4.0

0.0%

$501+

$501.00

—

#59

Jeremy Cameron Geelong · 6 left

6.1

0.0%

$501+

$501.00

—

#74

Charlie Curnow Sydney · 6 left

6.4

0.0%

$501+

$501.00

—

#94

Matt Rowell Gold Coast · 5 left

3.7

0.0%

$501+

$501.00

—

#95

Nick Watson Hawthorn · 6 left

3.7

0.0%

$501+

$251.00

—