Andre Gianfagna

Umpire profile

Andre Gianfagna

No. 27 Heritage 440 Active Last officiated 11 Jul 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

29.3%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 92 · Baseline 28.6% · +0.8 pts

Victorian bias

+0.8 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 67 · Free-kick diff +0.8

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Brisbane Lions
29 +8.0 pts +0.3
2
Geelong
25 +6.2 pts +0.9
3
Collingwood
23 +6.1 pts +3.2
4
Sydney
26 +5.3 pts -1.4
5
Western Bulldogs
23 +1.9 pts +0.7
6
Hawthorn
15 +1.6 pts -2.6
7
St Kilda
20 +0.7 pts +1.5
8
GWS
19 +0.4 pts -3.9
9
Richmond
14 +0.3 pts -2.8
10
Adelaide
15 -1.3 pts +3.4
11
Melbourne
14 -1.4 pts +0.4
12
Gold Coast
17 -1.9 pts +0.1
13
Port Adelaide
22 -3.6 pts -1.9
14
North Melbourne
17 -4.7 pts +0.8
15
Fremantle
17 -5.4 pts -0.7
16
West Coast
7 -7.3 pts +0.4
17
Essendon
18 -7.9 pts +1.6
18
Carlton
11 -11.4 pts -1.0

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Brisbane Lions 11.10 76 def. by Geelong 17.15 117 75

Round 10 · 14 May 2026 · Gabba

2.70 odds · 68% favourite · 41-pt win · 14.5-pt dog

Collingwood 10.9 69 def. by Sydney 15.12 102 66

Round 1 · 15 Mar 2024 · MCG

2.62 odds · 66% favourite · 33-pt win · 10.5-pt dog

Richmond 16.6 102 def. Geelong 11.12 78 66

Round 9 · 12 May 2023 · MCG

3.00 odds · 70% favourite · 24-pt win · 14.5-pt dog

GWS 12.9 81 def. by Western Bulldogs 17.11 113 65

Round 7 · 26 Apr 2025 · Manuka Oval

2.55 odds · 65% favourite · 32-pt win · 10.5-pt dog

Geelong 14.17 101 def. by Brisbane Lions 19.9 123 63

Round 17 · 2 Jul 2026 · Kardinia Park

2.83 odds · 70% favourite · 22-pt win · 14.5-pt dog