Brendan Hosking

Umpire profile

Brendan Hosking

No. 16 Heritage 425 Active Last officiated 11 Sep 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

29.2%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 113 · Baseline 28.3% · +0.9 pts

Victorian bias

-1.1 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 107 · Free-kick diff +0.4

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Melbourne
38 +7.5 pts -0.9
2
Fremantle
36 +6.0 pts +0.5
3
Hawthorn
32 +5.7 pts +0.2
4
Sydney
38 +4.8 pts -0.4
5
Western Bulldogs
34 +4.0 pts +1.4
6
West Coast
22 +3.1 pts +2.2
7
St Kilda
29 +2.7 pts +0.7
8
Richmond
38 +2.6 pts -2.8
9
Geelong
44 +2.2 pts +0.2
10
Port Adelaide
38 +1.7 pts -3.1
11
Adelaide
28 -0.6 pts +1.5
12
North Melbourne
35 -1.1 pts +0.9
13
Gold Coast
29 -2.3 pts -2.4
14
GWS
25 -2.9 pts -1.1
15
Collingwood
45 -4.1 pts +1.1
16
Essendon
37 -7.0 pts -0.2
17
Brisbane Lions
32 -10.8 pts +1.2
18
Carlton
32 -13.1 pts +1.7

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

West Coast 16.9 105 def. Melbourne 10.10 70 90

Round 10 · 19 May 2024 · Optus Stadium

6.25 odds · 88% favourite · 35-pt win · 34.5-pt dog

Sydney 21.15 141 def. Brisbane Lions 13.10 88 85

Finals Week 1 · 5 Sep 2026 · SCG

4.00 odds · 80% favourite · 53-pt win · 26.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 19.13 127 def. Adelaide 11.9 75 81

Round 7 · 26 Apr 2026 · Gabba

3.14 odds · 73% favourite · 52-pt win · 19.5-pt dog

Melbourne 18.12 120 def. Hawthorn 12.9 81 80

Round 10 · 16 May 2026 · MCG

3.12 odds · 73% favourite · 39-pt win · 20.5-pt dog

Gold Coast 11.10 76 def. by GWS 17.9 111 77

Round 23 · 16 Aug 2025 · Carrara

3.30 odds · 74% favourite · 35-pt win · 18.5-pt dog