Daniel Johanson

Umpire profile

Daniel Johanson

No. 6 Heritage 448 Active Last officiated 11 Jul 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

20.9%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 86 · Baseline 28.6% · -7.6 pts

Victorian bias

-5.1 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 40 · Free-kick diff +0.1

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Sydney
17 +12.7 pts +1.6
2
Port Adelaide
17 +6.1 pts -0.8
3
Fremantle
29 +4.6 pts +2.1
4
Adelaide
10 +4.4 pts -0.7
5
Geelong
8 +2.4 pts +1.1
6
Brisbane Lions
7 +1.8 pts -2.6
7
Western Bulldogs
10 +1.6 pts +1.3
8
Carlton
11 +1.6 pts +3.7
9
St Kilda
9 +1.4 pts +2.9
10
Collingwood
7 +0.1 pts -1.0
11
GWS
13 -1.5 pts -5.1
12
Hawthorn
10 -1.7 pts -1.0
13
West Coast
26 -2.9 pts +0.9
14
Melbourne
10 -3.1 pts +0.9
15
Gold Coast
13 -5.6 pts -0.8
16
Richmond
11 -5.9 pts -3.2
17
Essendon
16 -8.8 pts -0.4
18
North Melbourne
12 -10.5 pts -3.0

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Richmond 13.4 82 def. Carlton 9.15 69 95

Round 1 · 13 Mar 2025 · MCG

11.00 odds · 95% favourite · 13-pt win · 48.5-pt dog

Hawthorn 16.9 105 def. Collingwood 11.7 73 89

Round 21 · 5 Aug 2023 · MCG

5.60 odds · 86% favourite · 32-pt win · 32.5-pt dog

Fremantle 6.8 44 def. by Collingwood 12.8 80 81

Round 10 · 22 May 2022 · Optus Stadium

3.50 odds · 75% favourite · 36-pt win · 20.5-pt dog

West Coast 13.10 88 def. GWS 10.11 71 78

Round 10 · 17 May 2026 · Optus Stadium

4.45 odds · 83% favourite · 17-pt win · 30.5-pt dog

Melbourne 7.7 49 def. by Fremantle 22.9 141 78

Round 12 · 2 Jun 2024 · Traeger Park

2.68 odds · 67% favourite · 92-pt win · 8.5-pt dog