AFL Insights
Jack Howard

Umpire profile

Jack Howard

No. 18 Heritage 463 Active Last officiated 23 Aug 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

11.1%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 18 · Baseline 28.3% · -17.2 pts

Victorian bias

+6.6 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 8 · Free-kick diff +1.0

Significant upsets

2

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Geelong
3 +6.3 pts +2.3
2
Sydney
6 +5.9 pts +1.0
3
Essendon
5 +5.6 pts +4.0
4
Western Bulldogs
2 +4.3 pts -1.0
5
Carlton
3 +2.6 pts -1.0
6
St Kilda
2 +2.2 pts -1.0
7
Brisbane Lions
1 +1.4 pts -6.0
8
Melbourne
1 +0.8 pts +0.0
9
West Coast
5 -4.5 pts +5.0
10
GWS
1 -4.6 pts -12.0
11
Port Adelaide
2 -5.8 pts +1.5
12
Richmond
5 -6.4 pts -4.0
13
North Melbourne
4 -8.0 pts -4.0
14
Adelaide
— — —
15
Collingwood
— — —
16
Fremantle
— — —
17
Gold Coast
— — —
18
Hawthorn
— — —

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Essendon 10.7 67 def. GWS 8.16 64 79

Round 19 · 19 Jul 2026 · Marvel Stadium

6.70 odds · 90% favourite · 3-pt win · 39.5-pt dog

Sydney 17.21 123 def. North Melbourne 10.10 70 73

Round 24 · 23 Aug 2026 · SCG

2.23 odds · 60% favourite · 53-pt win · 6.5-pt dog