Jacob Mollison

Umpire profile

Jacob Mollison

No. 32 Heritage 413 Active Last officiated 10 Jul 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

31.5%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 108 · Baseline 28.6% · +2.9 pts

Victorian bias

-3.5 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 122 · Free-kick diff +0.0

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Fremantle
34 +10.7 pts -0.7
2
Brisbane Lions
35 +9.6 pts +0.8
3
Adelaide
33 +5.2 pts +1.7
4
Essendon
35 +4.2 pts +0.3
5
Melbourne
31 +3.6 pts -0.7
6
GWS
35 +2.9 pts -1.1
7
Hawthorn
38 +2.9 pts -1.1
8
St Kilda
37 +0.4 pts -0.8
9
Sydney
42 +0.1 pts -0.5
10
Richmond
39 -1.2 pts -0.9
11
Port Adelaide
32 -1.5 pts -1.7
12
West Coast
17 -2.7 pts -0.5
13
Geelong
55 -2.8 pts +0.1
14
North Melbourne
26 -3.7 pts +2.8
15
Collingwood
45 -3.7 pts -0.7
16
Western Bulldogs
37 -5.4 pts +1.1
17
Carlton
41 -8.0 pts +1.6
18
Gold Coast
30 -9.5 pts +1.1

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Richmond 13.4 82 def. Carlton 9.15 69 95

Round 1 · 13 Mar 2025 · MCG

11.00 odds · 95% favourite · 13-pt win · 48.5-pt dog

Melbourne 7.7 49 def. by Fremantle 22.9 141 78

Round 12 · 2 Jun 2024 · Traeger Park

2.68 odds · 67% favourite · 92-pt win · 8.5-pt dog

Geelong 11.9 75 def. by Brisbane Lions 18.14 122 75

Grand Final · 27 Sep 2025 · MCG

2.55 odds · 65% favourite · 47-pt win · 11.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 11.10 76 def. by Geelong 17.15 117 75

Round 10 · 14 May 2026 · Gabba

2.70 odds · 68% favourite · 41-pt win · 14.5-pt dog

Western Bulldogs 9.13 67 def. by Essendon 15.6 96 74

Round 5 · 12 Apr 2024 · Marvel Stadium

3.35 odds · 74% favourite · 29-pt win · 19.5-pt dog