Jacob Mollison

Umpire profile

Jacob Mollison

No. 32 Heritage 413 Active Last officiated 12 Sep 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

31.3%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 115 · Baseline 28.3% · +3.0 pts

Victorian bias

-3.9 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 124 · Free-kick diff +0.0

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Brisbane Lions
37 +11.3 pts +0.6
2
Fremantle
35 +10.3 pts -0.6
3
Adelaide
35 +4.9 pts +1.9
4
Essendon
35 +4.2 pts +0.3
5
GWS
35 +2.9 pts -1.1
6
Melbourne
32 +2.7 pts -0.6
7
Hawthorn
40 +1.0 pts -1.0
8
St Kilda
38 +0.8 pts -0.5
9
Sydney
43 -0.5 pts -0.6
10
Richmond
39 -1.2 pts -0.9
11
Port Adelaide
32 -1.5 pts -1.7
12
Geelong
56 -2.5 pts +0.1
13
West Coast
17 -2.7 pts -0.5
14
Collingwood
46 -3.3 pts -0.8
15
North Melbourne
27 -4.1 pts +2.4
16
Western Bulldogs
39 -4.3 pts +0.8
17
Carlton
42 -8.2 pts +1.5
18
Gold Coast
30 -9.5 pts +1.1

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Richmond 13.4 82 def. Carlton 9.15 69 95

Round 1 · 13 Mar 2025 · MCG

11.00 odds · 95% favourite · 13-pt win · 48.5-pt dog

Melbourne 7.7 49 def. by Fremantle 22.9 141 78

Round 12 · 2 Jun 2024 · Traeger Park

2.68 odds · 67% favourite · 92-pt win · 8.5-pt dog

Geelong 11.9 75 def. by Brisbane Lions 18.14 122 75

Grand Final · 27 Sep 2025 · MCG

2.55 odds · 65% favourite · 47-pt win · 11.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 11.10 76 def. by Geelong 17.15 117 75

Round 10 · 14 May 2026 · Gabba

2.70 odds · 68% favourite · 41-pt win · 14.5-pt dog

Western Bulldogs 9.13 67 def. by Essendon 15.6 96 74

Round 5 · 12 Apr 2024 · Marvel Stadium

3.35 odds · 74% favourite · 29-pt win · 19.5-pt dog