John Howorth

Umpire profile

John Howorth

No. 17 Heritage 443 Active Last officiated 11 Jul 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

27.7%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 101 · Baseline 28.6% · -0.8 pts

Victorian bias

+0.5 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 64 · Free-kick diff -1.1

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Adelaide
16 +12.0 pts +0.5
2
St Kilda
20 +5.4 pts +0.8
3
Melbourne
12 +4.5 pts -2.0
4
Collingwood
20 +3.5 pts +1.8
5
GWS
15 +2.9 pts -0.7
6
Fremantle
16 +1.7 pts +1.3
7
Hawthorn
17 +1.0 pts -1.6
8
Carlton
20 +0.0 pts +0.0
9
Geelong
28 -0.4 pts -0.4
10
Richmond
14 -1.3 pts -2.7
11
Brisbane Lions
17 -1.7 pts +3.4
12
Essendon
10 -2.0 pts -0.9
13
Sydney
16 -2.0 pts +0.2
14
Gold Coast
22 -2.4 pts +1.0
15
Port Adelaide
16 -3.5 pts -0.8
16
Western Bulldogs
20 -4.7 pts +0.1
17
West Coast
10 -6.9 pts +0.0
18
North Melbourne
15 -7.7 pts -2.3

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Fremantle 6.8 44 def. by Collingwood 12.8 80 81

Round 10 · 22 May 2022 · Optus Stadium

3.50 odds · 75% favourite · 36-pt win · 20.5-pt dog

Western Bulldogs 5.11 41 def. by St Kilda 14.8 92 77

Round 2 · 25 Mar 2023 · Marvel Stadium

2.62 odds · 66% favourite · 51-pt win · 11.5-pt dog

Richmond 15.9 99 def. Western Bulldogs 7.19 61 74

Round 4 · 9 Apr 2022 · MCG

2.80 odds · 68% favourite · 38-pt win · 14.5-pt dog

Adelaide 17.9 111 def. Western Bulldogs 9.18 72 73

Round 22 · 11 Aug 2024 · Adelaide Oval

2.75 odds · 68% favourite · 39-pt win · 13.5-pt dog

St Kilda 12.6 78 def. by Hawthorn 12.16 88 70

Round 11 · 27 May 2023 · Marvel Stadium

4.25 odds · 81% favourite · 10-pt win · 26.5-pt dog