AFL Insights
Jordan Fry

Umpire profile

Jordan Fry

No. 39 Heritage 449 Active Last officiated 27 Jun 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

12.5%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 40 · Baseline 28.6% · -16.1 pts

Victorian bias

-3.4 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 9 · Free-kick diff +0.3

Significant upsets

2

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
St Kilda
8 +10.1 pts +1.4
2
Essendon
6 +8.1 pts +1.2
3
Hawthorn
5 +6.0 pts +3.6
4
Sydney
7 +5.6 pts +3.0
5
Gold Coast
3 +4.4 pts +5.0
6
Fremantle
4 +4.0 pts +0.8
7
Collingwood
3 +1.9 pts +0.3
8
Geelong
1 -0.6 pts -7.0
9
Brisbane Lions
2 -0.7 pts -1.5
10
Carlton
2 -0.8 pts -1.0
11
Port Adelaide
3 -0.9 pts -5.3
12
North Melbourne
13 -2.0 pts -3.5
13
GWS
1 -3.3 pts -5.0
14
West Coast
11 -4.4 pts -0.8
15
Adelaide
1 -5.6 pts +1.0
16
Western Bulldogs
3 -6.4 pts +1.3
17
Richmond
6 -8.4 pts -1.0
18
Melbourne
5 -10.2 pts +2.6

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Essendon 17.11 113 def. Melbourne 10.8 68 85

Round 5 · 11 Apr 2026 · Adelaide Oval

4.00 odds · 80% favourite · 45-pt win · 26.5-pt dog

Melbourne 7.21 63 def. by St Kilda 14.7 91 66

Round 12 · 1 Jun 2025 · Traeger Park

2.75 odds · 68% favourite · 28-pt win · 13.5-pt dog