Leigh Fisher

Umpire profile

Leigh Fisher

No. 3 Heritage 429 Active Last officiated 23 Aug 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

32.1%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 106 · Baseline 28.3% · +3.8 pts

Victorian bias

-2.8 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 117 · Free-kick diff +1.2

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Adelaide
25 +13.4 pts +1.8
2
Western Bulldogs
39 +6.5 pts +1.6
3
Gold Coast
39 +5.9 pts -0.6
4
Port Adelaide
37 +5.2 pts +0.6
5
St Kilda
29 +3.7 pts -0.7
6
Melbourne
27 +0.6 pts +0.1
7
Sydney
23 +0.6 pts +0.4
8
West Coast
30 -0.7 pts -0.2
9
Geelong
28 -0.9 pts -1.6
10
GWS
39 -1.6 pts -1.9
11
North Melbourne
26 -1.6 pts +0.0
12
Collingwood
24 -1.8 pts +1.5
13
Hawthorn
37 -2.0 pts +1.1
14
Essendon
32 -2.6 pts +1.9
15
Richmond
43 -3.8 pts -0.2
16
Brisbane Lions
41 -4.0 pts -0.8
17
Carlton
24 -6.7 pts +0.8
18
Fremantle
27 -11.1 pts -3.3

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Hawthorn 16.9 105 def. Collingwood 11.7 73 89

Round 21 · 5 Aug 2023 · MCG

5.60 odds · 86% favourite · 32-pt win · 32.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 19.13 127 def. Adelaide 11.9 75 81

Round 7 · 26 Apr 2026 · Gabba

3.14 odds · 73% favourite · 52-pt win · 19.5-pt dog

Essendon 10.7 67 def. GWS 8.16 64 79

Round 19 · 19 Jul 2026 · Marvel Stadium

6.70 odds · 90% favourite · 3-pt win · 39.5-pt dog

St Kilda 14.10 94 def. Fremantle 5.3 33 78

Round 8 · 2 May 2025 · Marvel Stadium

2.68 odds · 67% favourite · 61-pt win · 10.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 11.10 76 def. by Geelong 17.15 117 75

Round 10 · 14 May 2026 · Gabba

2.70 odds · 68% favourite · 41-pt win · 14.5-pt dog