Leigh Fisher

Umpire profile

Leigh Fisher

No. 3 Heritage 429 Active Last officiated 12 Jul 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

31.7%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 101 · Baseline 28.6% · +3.1 pts

Victorian bias

-3.3 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 115 · Free-kick diff +1.1

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Adelaide
25 +13.4 pts +1.8
2
Western Bulldogs
38 +6.3 pts +1.6
3
Gold Coast
39 +5.9 pts -0.6
4
Port Adelaide
36 +5.6 pts +0.4
5
St Kilda
29 +3.7 pts -0.7
6
Sydney
23 +0.6 pts +0.4
7
West Coast
28 +0.2 pts -0.5
8
Melbourne
26 +0.2 pts -0.3
9
Geelong
28 -0.9 pts -1.6
10
GWS
36 -1.5 pts -1.3
11
North Melbourne
26 -1.6 pts +0.0
12
Collingwood
24 -1.8 pts +1.5
13
Hawthorn
36 -2.3 pts +1.2
14
Richmond
42 -3.5 pts -0.2
15
Essendon
31 -3.8 pts +1.6
16
Brisbane Lions
41 -4.0 pts -0.8
17
Carlton
24 -6.7 pts +0.8
18
Fremantle
26 -11.0 pts -3.1

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Hawthorn 16.9 105 def. Collingwood 11.7 73 89

Round 21 · 5 Aug 2023 · MCG

5.60 odds · 86% favourite · 32-pt win · 32.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 19.13 127 def. Adelaide 11.9 75 81

Round 7 · 26 Apr 2026 · Gabba

3.14 odds · 73% favourite · 52-pt win · 19.5-pt dog

St Kilda 14.10 94 def. Fremantle 5.3 33 78

Round 8 · 2 May 2025 · Marvel Stadium

2.68 odds · 67% favourite · 61-pt win · 10.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 11.10 76 def. by Geelong 17.15 117 75

Round 10 · 14 May 2026 · Gabba

2.70 odds · 68% favourite · 41-pt win · 14.5-pt dog

Western Bulldogs 9.13 67 def. by Essendon 15.6 96 74

Round 5 · 12 Apr 2024 · Marvel Stadium

3.35 odds · 74% favourite · 29-pt win · 19.5-pt dog