Rob O'Gorman

Umpire profile

Rob O'Gorman

No. 10 Heritage 431 Active Last officiated 22 Aug 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

27.1%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 96 · Baseline 28.3% · -1.2 pts

Victorian bias

+1.9 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 96 · Free-kick diff +0.5

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Hawthorn
29 +5.9 pts -0.9
2
Sydney
25 +5.9 pts +0.0
3
Richmond
31 +5.8 pts -3.2
4
Adelaide
24 +5.0 pts +0.8
5
Western Bulldogs
24 +4.4 pts +2.0
6
Port Adelaide
16 +3.7 pts -1.3
7
Brisbane Lions
32 +3.1 pts +0.8
8
Carlton
36 +2.6 pts +2.0
9
GWS
35 +2.1 pts -1.3
10
Fremantle
27 +0.8 pts -0.1
11
Collingwood
29 -0.5 pts +1.0
12
North Melbourne
24 -2.6 pts -0.5
13
St Kilda
34 -3.2 pts -0.3
14
Geelong
23 -4.9 pts +0.5
15
Essendon
40 -5.3 pts +0.8
16
Melbourne
21 -6.0 pts +0.1
17
Gold Coast
29 -7.7 pts -1.0
18
West Coast
25 -8.8 pts +0.3

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Richmond 13.4 82 def. Carlton 9.15 69 95

Round 1 · 13 Mar 2025 · MCG

11.00 odds · 95% favourite · 13-pt win · 48.5-pt dog

St Kilda 11.6 72 def. by Essendon 15.17 107 85

Round 14 · 17 Jun 2022 · Marvel Stadium

4.00 odds · 79% favourite · 35-pt win · 24.5-pt dog

Port Adelaide 13.17 95 def. Geelong 10.5 65 83

Round 7 · 25 Apr 2026 · Adelaide Oval

4.00 odds · 80% favourite · 30-pt win · 26.5-pt dog

Melbourne 7.7 49 def. by Fremantle 22.9 141 78

Round 12 · 2 Jun 2024 · Traeger Park

2.68 odds · 67% favourite · 92-pt win · 8.5-pt dog

West Coast 8.8 56 def. by Richmond 16.9 105 71

Round 19 · 19 Jul 2025 · Optus Stadium

2.30 odds · 61% favourite · 49-pt win · 6.5-pt dog