Upset likelihood
Umpire profile
Sam Ferguson
Victorian bias
Need 4+
Significant upsets
0
Club ladder
All teams ranked by lean
| # | Club | Matches | Lean | Free-kick diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Essendon
|
2 | +2.1 pts | +6.0 |
| 2 |
Richmond
|
1 | +1.6 pts | +10.0 |
| 3 |
Geelong
|
2 | -1.2 pts | -6.0 |
| 4 |
Sydney
|
1 | -2.6 pts | -10.0 |
| 5 |
Adelaide
|
— | — | — |
| 6 |
Brisbane Lions
|
— | — | — |
| 7 |
Carlton
|
— | — | — |
| 8 |
Collingwood
|
— | — | — |
| 9 |
Fremantle
|
— | — | — |
| 10 |
GWS
|
— | — | — |
| 11 |
Gold Coast
|
— | — | — |
| 12 |
Hawthorn
|
— | — | — |
| 13 |
Melbourne
|
— | — | — |
| 14 |
North Melbourne
|
— | — | — |
| 15 |
Port Adelaide
|
— | — | — |
| 16 |
St Kilda
|
— | — | — |
| 17 |
West Coast
|
— | — | — |
| 18 |
Western Bulldogs
|
— | — | — |
Officiated shocks
Top significant upsets
No officiated upsets in 2022-2026 cleared the significant-shock threshold.