Sam Morgan

Umpire profile

Sam Morgan

No. 43 Heritage 6 Active Last officiated 23 Aug 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

0.0%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 8 · Baseline 28.3% · -28.3 pts

Victorian bias

+2.8 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 4 · low confidence · Free-kick diff +0.2

Significant upsets

0

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
St Kilda
1 +4.6 pts +7.0
2
Richmond
3 +3.9 pts -3.0
3
Melbourne
2 +2.1 pts -1.5
4
Port Adelaide
1 +0.7 pts +5.0
5
North Melbourne
1 +0.2 pts +4.0
6
Adelaide
2 -1.7 pts +2.0
7
Sydney
1 -2.6 pts -10.0
8
Essendon
5 -5.6 pts +0.4
9
Brisbane Lions
10
Carlton
11
Collingwood
12
Fremantle
13
GWS
14
Geelong
15
Gold Coast
16
Hawthorn
17
West Coast
18
Western Bulldogs

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

No officiated upsets in 2022-2026 cleared the significant-shock threshold.