Andrew Stephens

Umpire profile

Andrew Stephens

No. 12 Active Last officiated 11 Jul 2026

Lean, Victorian bias and upset history for 2022-2026.

Upset likelihood

34.8%

Eligible underdog win rate

Matches 112 · Baseline 28.6% · +6.2 pts

Victorian bias

-2.8 pts

Victorian side vs non-Victorian opponent

Matches 93 · Free-kick diff +0.6

Significant upsets

5

Only 60%+ favourites with 60+ upset scores count.

2022-2026

Club ladder

All teams ranked by lean

Lean is residual margin versus the closing line. Free-kick diff is context only.

# Club Matches Lean Free-kick diff
1
Geelong
33 +8.9 pts +1.4
2
GWS
29 +8.0 pts -1.8
3
Sydney
28 +3.8 pts -2.6
4
Adelaide
26 +3.8 pts +0.7
5
Port Adelaide
35 +3.5 pts -1.4
6
Western Bulldogs
35 +2.5 pts +0.1
7
Collingwood
43 +2.4 pts +0.3
8
Melbourne
41 +1.8 pts +0.8
9
West Coast
22 +1.2 pts +1.6
10
Carlton
28 +1.0 pts +1.4
11
Gold Coast
32 -1.6 pts -0.8
12
St Kilda
35 -1.7 pts -1.0
13
North Melbourne
19 -2.2 pts +0.5
14
Hawthorn
30 -4.2 pts +0.4
15
Brisbane Lions
54 -4.7 pts +1.6
16
Fremantle
17 -7.2 pts -1.6
17
Richmond
25 -8.3 pts -2.2
18
Essendon
22 -12.3 pts +1.0

Officiated shocks

Top significant upsets

Only 60+ upset scores with a 60%+ favourite are shown, so fewer than five is normal.

Gold Coast 15.6 96 def. Brisbane Lions 7.13 55 81

Round 20 · 29 Jul 2023 · Carrara

3.35 odds · 74% favourite · 41-pt win · 17.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 19.13 127 def. Adelaide 11.9 75 81

Round 7 · 26 Apr 2026 · Gabba

3.14 odds · 73% favourite · 52-pt win · 19.5-pt dog

North Melbourne 19.11 125 def. Melbourne 9.12 66 81

Round 2 · 23 Mar 2025 · Marvel Stadium

3.10 odds · 71% favourite · 59-pt win · 16.5-pt dog

Brisbane Lions 13.10 88 def. by Melbourne 14.15 99 79

Round 10 · 18 May 2025 · Gabba

5.75 odds · 88% favourite · 11-pt win · 33.5-pt dog

Geelong 11.9 75 def. by Brisbane Lions 18.14 122 75

Grand Final · 27 Sep 2025 · MCG

2.55 odds · 65% favourite · 47-pt win · 11.5-pt dog