AFL Insights

Tips

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Tip difficulty Manageable Pass mark 5.18/7 tips (Easiest so far this season)

Roughie of the week

Sydney over Hawthorn

$3.12 · model 36% vs market 30%

Highest confidence

Gold Coast over Richmond

83% confidence · ~45 pts

Closest calls

Tightest decisions
ADE v WBD · 57% WCE v NTH · 63%

Round 2  ·  Thu 19 Mar, 7:30 PM AEDT

Hawthorn v Sydney

MCG

Tip

64%
Hawthorn

Medium confidence ~19 pts

Form

Sydney big edge Recent margin form is running 23.0 pts better.

Injury

Hawthorn solid edge Outs currently sit 1-4 across the two squads.
Flat-track bully: HAW

Round 2  ·  Fri 20 Mar, 7:10 PM ACDT

Adelaide v Western Bulldogs

Adelaide Oval

Tip

57%
Adelaide

Coin toss confidence ~1 pts

Form

Western Bulldogs big edge Recent margin form is running 49.0 pts better.

Travel / turnaround

Adelaide big edge interstate travel · travel turnaround

Round 2  ·  Sat 21 Mar, 1:15 PM AEDT

Richmond v Gold Coast

MCG

Tip

83%
Gold Coast

High confidence ~45 pts

Form

Gold Coast big edge Recent margin form is running 39.5 pts better.

Travel / turnaround

Richmond solid edge interstate travel · rest differential
AI dissent

Round 2  ·  Sat 21 Mar, 4:15 PM AEDT

GWS v St Kilda

ENGIE Stadium

Tip

69%
GWS

Medium confidence ~9 pts

Weather

St Kilda big edge Wet-weather setup slightly suits this side.

Form

St Kilda solid edge Recent margin form is running 7.0 pts better.
🌧 Wet

Round 2  ·  Sat 21 Mar, 4:35 PM AWST

Fremantle v Melbourne

Optus Stadium

Tip

70%
Fremantle

High confidence ~25 pts

Travel / turnaround

Fremantle solid edge interstate travel · rest differential

Venue

Fremantle solid edge true home ground · fortress edge

Round 2  ·  Sun 22 Mar, 2:45 PM ACDT

Port Adelaide v Essendon

Adelaide Oval

Tip

69%
Port Adelaide

Medium confidence ~15 pts

Form

Port Adelaide big edge Recent margin form is running 22.8 pts better.

Rub of the green

Port Adelaide big edge Port Adelaide +7.0 pts · PORT +1.9 · ESS -5.1

Round 2  ·  Sun 22 Mar, 3:10 PM AWST

West Coast v North Melbourne

Optus Stadium

Tip

63%
North Melbourne

Medium confidence ~12 pts

Form

North Melbourne big edge Recent margin form is running 64.0 pts better.

Rub of the green

North Melbourne big edge North Melbourne +4.9 pts · WCE -5.5 · NTH -0.6