AFL Insights

2026 season

North Melbourne

9-14 Marvel Stadium
Ladder 14th Current position
Power +0.9 8th in league
True form Stable TFR momentum: -0.2
Injuries — —
Confidence Medium Medium tipping confidence
Next opponent TBA Fixture not available yet

Tipping insight

North Melbourne need matchup context

North Melbourne struggle vs top 8 sides (10%) but are mixed against bottom 10 sides (62%).

Avg next-5 win chance Pending
Stable Win chances awaiting model Injuries: not modelled

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Pending

Upcoming recommendations are awaiting recompute.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Poor · Trend down
Form heat Ice cold
Last 5 record 1-4
Margin Avg margin -18.4
A L
SYD -53 · R24 Underperformed
H L
GEE -15 · R23 Result
A W
WBD +23 · R22 Overperformed
A L
HAW -16 · R21 Overperformed
H L
STK -31 · R20 Underperformed

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries

Availability is not available for this club yet.

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating +0.9
Lower League avg Stronger
8th power rank
Ladder rank 14th
True form -10.6
Cool Par Strong
14th
Record 9-14
TFR momentum -0.2
Declining Stable Rising
Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)
Avg margin -10.6
Injury load — Lower is healthier
Best side available Not modelled
Free-kick ladder 16th -0.8
Close games 4-3 7 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Worst loss

L v West Coast
-17 Opp 15th R2 Optus Stadium

-31.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS +0.3
Remaining difficulty Fixture ranks pending Future fixture
Upset win % 24% 17 games
Win % vs top 8 10% 10 games
Win % vs bottom 10 62% 13 games
Close game win % 57% 7 games
Home win % 50% 12 games
Away win % 27% 11 games
Interstate win % 11% 9 games
Favourite win % 83% 6 games
Underdog win % 24% 17 games
Fast start rate 52% Led at Q1 in 12 of 23 games
Comeback rate 20% 10 games
Lead held at siren 78% 9 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

Rounds 1-24

Ladder trend

After each completed round

1 10 18 North Melbourne · After R1 beat Port Adelaide 113-67 (+46) · Ladder 4th North Melbourne · After R2 lost to West Coast 94-111 (-17) · Ladder 6th North Melbourne · After R3 beat Essendon 81-69 (+12) · Ladder 6th North Melbourne · After R4 beat Carlton 96-86 (+10) · Ladder 5th North Melbourne · After R5 lost to Brisbane Lions 66-92 (-26) · Ladder 7th North Melbourne · After R6 beat Richmond 130-55 (+75) · Ladder 5th North Melbourne · After R7 lost to GWS 98-105 (-7) · Ladder 6th North Melbourne · After R8 lost to Geelong 86-135 (-49) · Ladder 10th North Melbourne · After R9 lost to Sydney 97-105 (-8) · Ladder 12th North Melbourne · After R10 lost to Adelaide 65-133 (-68) · Ladder 12th North Melbourne · After R11 beat Gold Coast 111-105 (+6) · Ladder 13th North Melbourne · After R13 lost to Fremantle 31-155 (-124) · Ladder 14th North Melbourne · After R14 beat West Coast 74-73 (+1) · Ladder 12th North Melbourne · After R15 beat Richmond 73-48 (+25) · Ladder 10th North Melbourne · After R16 beat Essendon 79-65 (+14) · Ladder 9th North Melbourne · After R17 lost to Port Adelaide 52-73 (-21) · Ladder 11th North Melbourne · After R18 lost to Collingwood 85-89 (-4) · Ladder 13th North Melbourne · After R19 lost to Melbourne 76-92 (-16) · Ladder 13th North Melbourne · After R20 lost to St Kilda 62-93 (-31) · Ladder 13th North Melbourne · After R21 lost to Hawthorn 83-99 (-16) · Ladder 13th North Melbourne · After R22 beat Western Bulldogs 100-77 (+23) · Ladder 13th North Melbourne · After R23 lost to Geelong 110-125 (-15) · Ladder 13th North Melbourne · After R24 lost to Sydney 70-123 (-53) · Ladder 14th North Melbourne 14th R1 R7 R13 R18 R24

Player power

Top 5 players

Harry Sheezel Mid · 2nd league
118.6
Tristan Xerri Ruck · 29th league
98.8
Luke Parker Mid · 45th league
94.4
Luke Davies-Uniacke Mid · 46th league
93.5
Caleb Daniel Mid
89.7
Venue performance Ground split
Marvel Stadium vs GEE, WBD, STK 12 games 58% +9.3 +19.9
Optus Stadium vs WCE, WCE 2 games · low sample 50% -8.0 +2.6
Adelaide Oval vs PORT, ADE 2 games · low sample 0% -44.5 -33.9
One-off venues
MCG vs RIC 1 game · low sample 100% +25.0 +35.6
Manuka Oval vs GWS 1 game · low sample 0% -7.0 +3.6
UTAS Stadium vs HAW 1 game · low sample 0% -16.0 -5.4
Barossa Park vs BRL 1 game · low sample 0% -26.0 -15.4
Kardinia Park vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -49.0 -38.4
SCG vs SYD 1 game · low sample 0% -53.0 -42.4
Hands Oval vs FRE 1 game · low sample 0% -124.0 -113.4
Stat leaders Club leaders
Goals Nick Larkey 45 · 2.0 per game
Accuracy Cooper Trembath 76.2% · 1.4 goals per game · 32 goals, 10 behinds from 42 shots
Goal Assists Charlie Spargo 17 · 0.9 per game
Marks inside 50 Nick Larkey 56 · 2.4 per game
Marks Luke Parker 150 · 6.5 per game
One-Percenters Charlie Comben 156 · 7.1 per game
Disposals Harry Sheezel 670 · 30.5 per game
Clearances Luke Davies-Uniacke 135 · 5.9 per game
Contested Possessions Tristan Xerri 271 · 14.3 per game
Tackles Tristan Xerri 113 · 5.9 per game
Clangers Luke Davies-Uniacke 85 · 3.7 per game
Free Kicks Against Luke Davies-Uniacke 38 · 1.7 per game
Umpire profile Rub of the green
FK rank 16th Avg diff -0.8

Favourite umpires

Cameron Jones
Cameron Jones +9.0 pts

11 matches · FK diff -2.0

Nick Jankovskis
Nick Jankovskis +7.6 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -2.2

Matt Stevic
Matt Stevic +7.4 pts

30 matches · FK diff +0.7

Least favourite umpires

Nathan Toner
Nathan Toner -12.4 pts

12 matches · FK diff -1.2

Daniel Johanson
Daniel Johanson -10.5 pts

12 matches · FK diff -3.0

Jack Howard
Jack Howard -8.0 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff -4.0

Show all 38 umpire rows
Cameron Jones
Cameron Jones +9.0 pts

11 matches · FK diff -2.0

Nick Jankovskis
Nick Jankovskis +7.6 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -2.2

Matt Stevic
Matt Stevic +7.4 pts

30 matches · FK diff +0.7

Tom Bryce
Tom Bryce +5.5 pts

14 matches · FK diff -1.2

Nathan Williamson
Nathan Williamson +5.3 pts

17 matches · FK diff +1.3

Alex Whetton
Alex Whetton +4.1 pts

18 matches · FK diff -0.3

Andrew Adair
Andrew Adair +2.0 pts

11 matches · FK diff -1.1

Martin Rodger
Martin Rodger +1.9 pts

11 matches · FK diff -1.4

Eleni Tee
Eleni Tee +0.3 pts

18 matches · FK diff -2.5

Brent Wallace
Brent Wallace -0.2 pts

16 matches · FK diff +0.9

Simon Meredith
Simon Meredith -0.4 pts

30 matches · FK diff +1.5

Peter Bailes
Peter Bailes -0.5 pts

11 matches · FK diff +0.8

Hayden Meyer
Hayden Meyer -0.5 pts

14 matches · FK diff +2.3

Craig Fleer
Craig Fleer -0.9 pts

24 matches · FK diff +0.7

Brendan Hosking
Brendan Hosking -1.1 pts

35 matches · FK diff +0.9

Cameron Dore
Cameron Dore -1.3 pts

28 matches · FK diff -1.9

Leigh Fisher
Leigh Fisher -1.6 pts

26 matches · FK diff +0.0

Curtis Deboy
Curtis Deboy -1.7 pts

18 matches · FK diff +0.8

Jordan Fry
Jordan Fry -2.0 pts

13 matches · FK diff -3.5

Andrew Stephens
Andrew Stephens -2.2 pts

19 matches · FK diff +0.5

Jamie Broadbent
Jamie Broadbent -2.4 pts

8 matches · FK diff +0.0

Rob O'Gorman
Rob O'Gorman -2.6 pts

24 matches · FK diff -0.5

Justin Power
Justin Power -2.6 pts

17 matches · FK diff -1.1

Brett Rosebury
Brett Rosebury -2.6 pts

24 matches · FK diff -0.0

Paul Rebeschini
Paul Rebeschini -3.0 pts

26 matches · FK diff +0.7

Andrew Heffernan
Andrew Heffernan -3.0 pts

17 matches · FK diff -1.6

Nick Brown
Nick Brown -3.6 pts

36 matches · FK diff +0.1

Harrison Birch
Harrison Birch -3.9 pts

12 matches · FK diff +1.2

Nick Foot
Nick Foot -4.1 pts

21 matches · FK diff +2.1

Jacob Mollison
Jacob Mollison -4.1 pts

27 matches · FK diff +2.4

Matthew Young
Matthew Young -4.1 pts

10 matches · FK diff -1.0

Andre Gianfagna
Andre Gianfagna -4.7 pts

17 matches · FK diff +0.8

Nicholas McGinness
Nicholas McGinness -5.8 pts

15 matches · FK diff -3.3

John Howorth
John Howorth -6.2 pts

17 matches · FK diff -2.9

Mathew Nicholls
Mathew Nicholls -7.7 pts

35 matches · FK diff +0.6

Jack Howard
Jack Howard -8.0 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff -4.0

Daniel Johanson
Daniel Johanson -10.5 pts

12 matches · FK diff -3.0

Nathan Toner
Nathan Toner -12.4 pts

12 matches · FK diff -1.2

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

Finals eliminated
13th projected finish 9.0 wins 9W after 23 played
0% Wildcard round
Top 10
0% Home final
Top 6
0% Double chance
Top 4
0% Top 2
Top 2

Round 23 of 23 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Geelong

0-15 -47.6 avg margin · 15 games · Usable sample

North Melbourne have gone 0-15 against Geelong across the last 10 seasons.