Tipping insight
Use caution with GWS
GWS struggle vs top 8 sides (33%) but have not banked bottom 10 games (43%).
Avg next-5 win chance
30%
Stable
Very tough run
Injuries: Major
Fixture outlook
Next 5 games
Avg opp rank 8.6
Very tough run · 30% avg win prob
Toughest Melbourne
True form -10.0 deficit
Our own injury load
True form -17.6 deficit
True form -7.1 deficit
Interstate trip
True form +5.2 advantage
True form -13.2 deficit
Interstate trip
Projected 1.5 wins from the next 5.
Form + Last 5
Recent tipping read
Form heat
Cold
Last 5 record
2-3
Margin
Avg margin -11.4
Availability
Injury health
81%
12 listed injuries
Clear
Manageable
Major
Nick Madden
Tom Green
Harry Rowston
Darcy Jones
As of 12 May 2026 · Stable injury load
Team snapshot
Current read
Lower
League avg
Stronger
Cool
Par
Strong
Declining
Stable
Rising
Clear
Manageable
Major
Results profile
Biggest scalp and worst loss
Biggest scalp
-3.5 pts vs line
Worst loss
-46.5 pts vs line
Season profile
Where the wins are coming from
Played difficulty
Below-average draw
SoS -1.0
Remaining difficulty
Average run
Avg opp rank 8.5
Upset win %
0%
4 games
Win % vs top 8
33%
3 games
Win % vs bottom 10
43%
7 games
Close game win %
50%
2 games · low sample
Home win %
80%
5 games
Away win %
0%
5 games
Interstate win %
33%
6 games
Favourite win %
67%
6 games
Underdog win %
0%
4 games
Fast start rate
40%
Led at Q1 in 4 of 10 games
Comeback rate
14%
7 games
Lead held at siren
75%
4 games
Season trend
OR-R10
Ladder trend
After each completed round
True form trend
Results-anchored read after each completed round
Power trend
Model strength entering each round
Injury trend
Expected points missing; lower is healthier
Momentum trend
Recent true-form movement after each completed round
Player power
Top 5 players
Lachie Ash
Mid · 9th league
109.4
Lachie Whitfield
Mid · 19th league
104.5
Clayton Oliver
Mid · 22nd league
101.3
Finn Callaghan
Mid · 39th league
95.8
Toby Greene
Key fwd
85.8
Venue performance Ground split
Stat leaders Club leaders
Season projection
Finals race
37%
Wildcard round
Top 10
Top 10
15%
Home final
Top 6
Top 6
9%
Double chance
Top 4
Top 4
Mid season (Rd 10 of 23) · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration
Bogey team
Western Bulldogs
5-11
-14.6 avg margin · 16 games · Usable sample
GWS have gone 5-11 against Western Bulldogs across the last 10 seasons.