AFL Insights

2026 season

GWS

8-9 Blacktown
Ladder 11th Current position
Power +1.0 9th in league
True form Falling TFR momentum: -1.4
Injuries Major 13.3 pts
Confidence Low Low tipping confidence
Next opponent
ESS
Marvel Stadium · Sun 19 Jul, 4:40 PM AEST

Tipping insight

Use caution with GWS

GWS are roughly break-even vs top 8 sides (50%) but have not banked bottom 10 games (44%).

Avg next-5 win chance 62%
Falling Slightly favourable Injuries: Major

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Slightly favourable
Avg opp rank 13.0 Slightly favourable · 62% avg win prob Toughest Sydney
A Favourable
ESS Ladder 18th · R19 · Marvel 79% win · +34 pts
True form +18.2 advantage Our own injury load
H Line ball
SYD Ladder 2nd · R20 · ENGIE 48% win
True form -15.6 deficit
A Tough
PORT Ladder 15th · R21 · Adel Oval 45% win
True form +7.7 advantage Interstate trip
H Favourable
GCS Ladder 14th · R22 · Manuka Oval 72% win
True form +9.0 advantage Interstate trip
H Favourable
WCE Ladder 16th · R23 · ENGIE 64% win
True form +13.4 advantage Opp moderate injury load

Projected 3.1 wins from the next 5.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Volatile · Mixed trend
Form heat Hot
Last 5 record 2-3
Margin Avg margin -2.2
H W
GEE +13 · R18 Overperformed
H W
FRE +21 · R17 Overperformed
A L
HAW -14 · R16 Result
H L
CAR -23 · R15 Underperformed
A L
STK -8 · R14 Near Miss

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries
Major 69% 13 listed injuries
Clear Manageable Major
Brent Daniels TBC
Tom Green Season
Kieren Briggs Injured
Josh Kelly Season

As of 14 Jul 2026 · Worsening — more players out

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating +1.0
Lower League avg Stronger
9th power rank
Ladder rank 11th
True form -1.8
Cool Par Strong
10th
Record 8-9
TFR momentum -1.4
Declining Stable Rising
Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)
Avg margin +1.4
Injury load 13.3 pts
Clear Manageable Major
Lower is healthier
Best side available 69%
Free-kick ladder 18th -4.1
Close games 1-2 3 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v Fremantle
+21 Opp 2nd R17 Manuka Oval

+46.5 pts vs line

Worst loss

L v West Coast
-17 Opp 12th R10 Optus Stadium

-46.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS +0.5
Remaining difficulty Average run Avg opp rank 11.0
Upset win % 38% 8 games
Win % vs top 8 50% 8 games
Win % vs bottom 10 44% 9 games
Close game win % 33% 3 games
Home win % 78% 9 games
Away win % 12% 8 games
Interstate win % 40% 10 games
Favourite win % 56% 9 games
Underdog win % 38% 8 games
Fast start rate 47% Led at Q1 in 8 of 17 games
Comeback rate 18% 11 games
Lead held at siren 86% 7 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

OR-R18

Ladder trend

After each completed round

1 10 18 GWS · After OR beat Hawthorn 122-95 (+27) · Ladder 3rd GWS · After R1 lost to Western Bulldogs 53-134 (-81) · Ladder 10th GWS · After R2 lost to St Kilda 74-78 (-4) · Ladder 13th GWS · After R3 lost to Collingwood 54-87 (-33) · Ladder 15th GWS · After R5 beat Richmond 131-75 (+56) · Ladder 12th GWS · After R6 lost to Sydney 66-107 (-41) · Ladder 14th GWS · After R7 beat North Melbourne 105-98 (+7) · Ladder 14th GWS · After R8 lost to Gold Coast 63-83 (-20) · Ladder 14th GWS · After R9 beat Essendon 103-89 (+14) · Ladder 13th GWS · After R10 lost to West Coast 71-88 (-17) · Ladder 13th GWS · After R11 beat Brisbane Lions 166-88 (+78) · Ladder 12th GWS · After R12 beat Melbourne 119-70 (+49) · Ladder 10th GWS · After R14 lost to St Kilda 88-96 (-8) · Ladder 11th GWS · After R15 lost to Carlton 65-88 (-23) · Ladder 13th GWS · After R16 lost to Hawthorn 82-96 (-14) · Ladder 14th GWS · After R17 beat Fremantle 109-88 (+21) · Ladder 13th GWS · After R18 beat Geelong 86-73 (+13) · Ladder 11th GWS 11th OR R5 R9 R14 R18

Player power

Top 5 players

Lachie Ash Mid · 9th league
106.9
Clayton Oliver Mid · 15th league
105.4
Lachie Whitfield Mid · 25th league
101.3
Finn Callaghan Mid · 27th league
99.9
Toby Greene Key fwd · 48th league
92.1
Venue performance Ground split
ENGIE Stadium vs GEE, CAR, BRL 6 games 67% +17.5 +16.1
Marvel Stadium vs STK, COL, WBD 3 games 0% -40.7 -42.1
Manuka Oval vs FRE, NTH 2 games · low sample 100% +14.0 +12.6
One-off venues
Barossa Park vs RIC 1 game · low sample 100% +56.0 +54.6
Traeger Park vs MEL 1 game · low sample 100% +49.0 +47.6
MCG vs HAW 1 game · low sample 0% -14.0 -15.4
Optus Stadium vs WCE 1 game · low sample 0% -17.0 -18.4
Carrara vs GCS 1 game · low sample 0% -20.0 -21.4
SCG vs SYD 1 game · low sample 0% -41.0 -42.4
Stat leaders Club leaders
Goals Jake Stringer 36 · 2.1 per game
Accuracy Brent Daniels 91.7% · 1.1 goals per game · 11 goals, 1 behinds from 12 shots
Goal Assists Toby Greene 21 · 1.2 per game
Marks inside 50 Jake Stringer 35 · 2.1 per game
Marks Lachie Ash 129 · 7.6 per game
One-Percenters Harry Himmelberg 100 · 5.9 per game
Disposals Clayton Oliver 543 · 31.9 per game
Clearances Clayton Oliver 135 · 7.9 per game
Contested Possessions Clayton Oliver 264 · 15.5 per game
Tackles Clayton Oliver 84 · 4.9 per game
Clangers Toby Greene 87 · 5.1 per game
Free Kicks Against Clayton Oliver 32 · 1.9 per game
Umpire profile Rub of the green
FK rank 18th Avg diff -4.1

Favourite umpires

Nathan Toner
Nathan Toner +10.3 pts

12 matches · FK diff -2.1

Andrew Stephens
Andrew Stephens +8.0 pts

29 matches · FK diff -1.8

Simon Meredith
Simon Meredith +6.7 pts

40 matches · FK diff -2.2

Least favourite umpires

Hayden Meyer
Hayden Meyer -10.1 pts

22 matches · FK diff -0.6

Jamie Broadbent
Jamie Broadbent -9.1 pts

20 matches · FK diff -2.8

Paul Rebeschini
Paul Rebeschini -6.3 pts

10 matches · FK diff +0.3

Show all 33 umpire rows
Nathan Toner
Nathan Toner +10.3 pts

12 matches · FK diff -2.1

Andrew Stephens
Andrew Stephens +8.0 pts

29 matches · FK diff -1.8

Simon Meredith
Simon Meredith +6.7 pts

40 matches · FK diff -2.2

Martin Rodger
Martin Rodger +6.3 pts

10 matches · FK diff -5.0

Nathan Williamson
Nathan Williamson +5.8 pts

28 matches · FK diff -2.2

Craig Fleer
Craig Fleer +5.4 pts

29 matches · FK diff -1.0

Jacob Mollison
Jacob Mollison +2.9 pts

35 matches · FK diff -1.1

John Howorth
John Howorth +2.9 pts

15 matches · FK diff -0.7

Cameron Dore
Cameron Dore +2.4 pts

20 matches · FK diff -1.7

Rob O'Gorman
Rob O'Gorman +2.1 pts

35 matches · FK diff -1.3

Brent Wallace
Brent Wallace +1.7 pts

23 matches · FK diff -3.0

Curtis Deboy
Curtis Deboy +1.3 pts

28 matches · FK diff -3.1

Peter Bailes
Peter Bailes +1.3 pts

10 matches · FK diff -4.1

Andre Gianfagna
Andre Gianfagna +0.4 pts

19 matches · FK diff -3.9

Matt Stevic
Matt Stevic +0.4 pts

40 matches · FK diff -1.2

Alex Whetton
Alex Whetton +0.3 pts

17 matches · FK diff -2.5

Harrison Birch
Harrison Birch +0.3 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -5.8

Nick Brown
Nick Brown +0.2 pts

25 matches · FK diff -2.8

Nick Foot
Nick Foot -0.1 pts

40 matches · FK diff +0.0

Daniel Johanson
Daniel Johanson -1.5 pts

13 matches · FK diff -5.1

Cameron Jones
Cameron Jones -1.5 pts

7 matches · FK diff -0.7

Leigh Fisher
Leigh Fisher -1.5 pts

36 matches · FK diff -1.3

Justin Power
Justin Power -2.2 pts

19 matches · FK diff -0.4

Brendan Hosking
Brendan Hosking -2.5 pts

24 matches · FK diff -1.2

Eleni Tee
Eleni Tee -2.9 pts

10 matches · FK diff +0.9

Andrew Heffernan
Andrew Heffernan -3.6 pts

10 matches · FK diff -3.7

Mathew Nicholls
Mathew Nicholls -4.0 pts

31 matches · FK diff -3.0

Nicholas McGinness
Nicholas McGinness -4.7 pts

11 matches · FK diff -0.1

Tom Bryce
Tom Bryce -5.1 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -4.6

Brett Rosebury
Brett Rosebury -6.2 pts

33 matches · FK diff -0.4

Paul Rebeschini
Paul Rebeschini -6.3 pts

10 matches · FK diff +0.3

Jamie Broadbent
Jamie Broadbent -9.1 pts

20 matches · FK diff -2.8

Hayden Meyer
Hayden Meyer -10.1 pts

22 matches · FK diff -0.6

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

On the bubble
10th projected finish 11.4 wins 8W after 17 played
57% Wildcard round
Top 10
9% Home final
Top 6
3% Double chance
Top 4
2% Top 2
Top 2

Round 17 of 23 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Western Bulldogs

5-11 -14.6 avg margin · 16 games · Usable sample

GWS have gone 5-11 against Western Bulldogs across the last 10 seasons.