AFL Insights

2026 season

West Coast

3-7 Optus Stadium
Ladder 15th Current position
Power -4.8 16th in league
True form Stable TFR momentum: +0.3
Injuries Moderate 5.5 pts
Confidence Low Low tipping confidence
Next opponent
COL
MCG · Sat 23 May, 4:35 PM AEST

Tipping insight

Use caution with West Coast

West Coast struggle vs top 8 sides (0%) but are mixed against bottom 10 sides (60%).

Avg next-5 win chance 31%
Stable Very tough run Injuries: Moderate

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Very tough run
Avg opp rank 14.0 Very tough run · 31% avg win prob Toughest Collingwood
A Tough
COL Ladder 11th · R11 · MCG 12% win · -4 pts
True form -14.9 deficit Our own injury load
H Line ball
ESS Ladder 17th · R12 · Optus 52% win
True form +3.9 advantage
H Tough
PORT Ladder 14th · R13 · Optus 33% win
True form -5.9 deficit
A Tough
NTH Ladder 12th · R14 · Optus 34% win
True form -8.4 deficit
A Tough
CAR Ladder 16th · R16 · Marvel 25% win
True form -1.9 deficit Interstate trip

Projected 1.6 wins from the next 5.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Poor · Trend down
Form heat Cooling
Last 5 record 1-4
Margin Avg margin -36.6
H W
GWS +17 · R10 Overperformed
A L
MEL -32 · R9 Result
H L
RIC -11 · R8 Underperformed
A L
STK -101 · R7 Underperformed
H L
FRE -56 · R6 Result

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries
Moderate 80% 11 listed injuries
Clear Manageable Major
Jack Graham 6-7 weeks
Deven Robertson Season
Tyler Brockman 3-4 weeks
Jamie Cripps TBC

As of 12 May 2026 · Stable injury load

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating -4.8
Lower League avg Stronger
16th power rank
Ladder rank 15th
True form -15.0
Cool Par Strong
16th
Record 3-7
TFR momentum +0.3
Declining Stable Rising
Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)
Avg margin -39.7
Injury load 5.5 pts
Clear Manageable Major
Lower is healthier
Best 22 available 80%
Free-kick ladder 11th -0.2
Close games 1-1 2 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Worst loss

L v Richmond
-11 Opp 18th R8 Optus Stadium

-30.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS -0.2
Remaining difficulty Average run Avg opp rank 9.8
Upset win % 33% 9 games
Win % vs top 8 0% 5 games
Win % vs bottom 10 60% 5 games
Close game win % 50% 2 games · low sample
Home win % 40% 5 games
Away win % 20% 5 games
Interstate win % 20% 5 games
Favourite win % 0% 1 game · low sample
Underdog win % 33% 9 games
Fast start rate 0% Led at Q1 in 0 of 10 games
Comeback rate 22% 9 games
Lead held at siren 100% 2 games · low sample

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

Rounds 1-10

Ladder trend

After each completed round

1 10 18 West Coast · After R1 lost to Gold Coast 72-131 (-59) · Ladder 18th West Coast · After R2 beat North Melbourne 111-94 (+17) · Ladder 12th West Coast · After R3 beat Port Adelaide 92-90 (+2) · Ladder 9th West Coast · After R4 lost to Sydney 35-163 (-128) · Ladder 12th West Coast · After R5 lost to Geelong 76-122 (-46) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R6 lost to Fremantle 41-97 (-56) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R7 lost to St Kilda 42-143 (-101) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R8 lost to Richmond 88-99 (-11) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R9 lost to Melbourne 67-99 (-32) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R10 beat GWS 88-71 (+17) · Ladder 15th West Coast 15th R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

Player power

Top 5 players

Bailey Williams Ruck
85.3
Harley Reid Key fwd
85
Tom McCarthy Mid
84
Elliot Yeo Key fwd
83.5
Tim Kelly Mid
82.2
Venue performance Ground split
Optus Stadium vs GWS, RIC, FRE 5 games 40% -32.2 +7.5
Marvel Stadium vs MEL, STK 2 games · low sample 0% -66.5 -26.8
One-off venues
Adelaide Oval vs PORT 1 game · low sample 100% +2.0 +41.7
Norwood Oval vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -46.0 -6.3
Carrara vs GCS 1 game · low sample 0% -59.0 -19.3
Stat leaders Club leaders
Goals Jake Waterman 21 · 2.1 per game
Accuracy Elliot Yeo 72.7% · 1.0 goals per game · 8 goals, 3 behinds from 11 shots
Goal Assists Tim Kelly 9 · 1.0 per game
Marks inside 50 Jake Waterman 27 · 2.7 per game
Marks Jake Waterman 64 · 6.4 per game
One-Percenters Reuben Ginbey 65 · 6.5 per game
Disposals Harley Reid 241 · 24.1 per game
Clearances Harley Reid 56 · 5.6 per game
Contested Possessions Harley Reid 124 · 12.4 per game
Tackles Elliot Yeo 47 · 5.9 per game
Clangers Harley Reid 64 · 6.4 per game
Free Kicks Against Harley Reid 24 · 2.4 per game

Season projection

Finals race

Finals unlikely
15th projected finish 8.1 wins 3W after 10 played
26% Wildcard round
Top 10
12% Home final
Top 6
7% Double chance
Top 4

Mid season (Rd 10 of 23) · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Sydney

2-9 -52.4 avg margin · 11 games · Usable sample

West Coast have gone 2-9 against Sydney across the last 10 seasons.