AFL Insights

2026 season

West Coast

4-13 Optus Stadium
Ladder 16th Current position
Power -1.5 12th in league
True form Rising TFR momentum: +1.7
Injuries Minor 5 pts
Confidence Medium Medium tipping confidence
Next opponent
BRL
Optus Stadium · Sat 18 Jul, 6:10 PM AWST

Tipping insight

West Coast need matchup context

West Coast struggle vs top 8 sides (0%) but have not banked bottom 10 games (36%).

Avg next-5 win chance 35%
Rising Tough slate Injuries: Minor

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Tough slate
Avg opp rank 8.2 Tough slate · 35% avg win prob Toughest Fremantle
H Tough
BRL Ladder 4th · R19 · Optus 13% win · -44 pts
True form -27.6 deficit Our own injury load
A Tough
FRE Ladder 1st · R20 · Optus 24% win
True form -31.6 deficit
A Line ball
RIC Ladder 17th · R21 · MCG 51% win
True form +1.3 advantage Interstate trip
H Line ball
COL Ladder 8th · R22 · Optus 54% win
True form -16.5 deficit
A Tough
GWS Ladder 11th · R23 · ENGIE 34% win
True form -13.4 deficit Our own injury load

Projected 1.8 wins from the next 5.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Poor · Trend down
Form heat Ice cold
Last 5 record 0-5
Margin Avg margin -20.2
A L
WBD -16 · R18 Overperformed
H L
ADE -25 · R17 Result
A L
CAR -53 · R16 Underperformed
A L
NTH -1 · R14 Overperformed
H L
PORT -6 · R13 Near Miss

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries
Minor 76% 12 listed injuries
Clear Manageable Major
Josh Lindsay 1 week
Deven Robertson Season
Reuben Ginbey 5 weeks
Tyler Brockman Season

As of 14 Jul 2026 · Improving — injury load easing

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating -1.5
Lower League avg Stronger
12th power rank
Ladder rank 16th
True form -15.2
Cool Par Strong
16th
Record 4-13
TFR momentum +1.7
Declining Stable Rising
Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)
Avg margin -28.1
Injury load 5 pts
Clear Manageable Major
Lower is healthier
Best side available 76%
Free-kick ladder 15th -0.7
Close games 1-4 5 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v GWS
+17 Opp 9th R10 Optus Stadium

+46.5 pts vs line

Worst loss

L v Richmond
-11 Opp 15th R8 Optus Stadium

-30.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS -0.4
Remaining difficulty Tough run home Avg opp rank 7.3
Upset win % 20% 15 games
Win % vs top 8 0% 6 games
Win % vs bottom 10 36% 11 games
Close game win % 20% 5 games
Home win % 38% 8 games
Away win % 11% 9 games
Interstate win % 12% 8 games
Favourite win % 50% 2 games · low sample
Underdog win % 20% 15 games
Fast start rate 18% Led at Q1 in 3 of 17 games
Comeback rate 14% 14 games
Lead held at siren 100% 3 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

Rounds 1-18

Ladder trend

After each completed round

1 10 18 West Coast · After R1 lost to Gold Coast 72-131 (-59) · Ladder 18th West Coast · After R2 beat North Melbourne 111-94 (+17) · Ladder 12th West Coast · After R3 beat Port Adelaide 92-90 (+2) · Ladder 9th West Coast · After R4 lost to Sydney 35-163 (-128) · Ladder 12th West Coast · After R5 lost to Geelong 76-122 (-46) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R6 lost to Fremantle 41-97 (-56) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R7 lost to St Kilda 42-143 (-101) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R8 lost to Richmond 88-99 (-11) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R9 lost to Melbourne 67-99 (-32) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R10 beat GWS 88-71 (+17) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R11 lost to Collingwood 82-92 (-10) · Ladder 16th West Coast · After R12 beat Essendon 85-55 (+30) · Ladder 15th West Coast · After R13 lost to Port Adelaide 71-77 (-6) · Ladder 16th West Coast · After R14 lost to North Melbourne 73-74 (-1) · Ladder 16th West Coast · After R16 lost to Carlton 64-117 (-53) · Ladder 16th West Coast · After R17 lost to Adelaide 74-99 (-25) · Ladder 16th West Coast · After R18 lost to Western Bulldogs 70-86 (-16) · Ladder 16th West Coast 16th R1 R5 R9 R13 R18

Player power

Top 5 players

Tom McCarthy Mid
89.1
Bailey Williams Ruck
83.5
Harley Reid Mid
82.8
Tim Kelly Mid
81.5
Willem Duursma Mid
78.7
Venue performance Ground split
Optus Stadium vs ADE, NTH, PORT 9 games 33% -18.1 +10.0
Marvel Stadium vs WBD, CAR, MEL 4 games 0% -50.5 -22.4
One-off venues
Adelaide Oval vs PORT 1 game · low sample 100% +2.0 +30.1
MCG vs COL 1 game · low sample 0% -10.0 +18.1
Norwood Oval vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -46.0 -17.9
Carrara vs GCS 1 game · low sample 0% -59.0 -30.9
Stat leaders Club leaders
Goals Jake Waterman 35 · 2.1 per game
Accuracy Milan Murdock 70.6% · 0.9 goals per game · 12 goals, 5 behinds from 17 shots
Goal Assists Tim Kelly 12 · 0.8 per game
Marks inside 50 Jake Waterman 53 · 3.1 per game
Marks Jake Waterman 115 · 6.8 per game
One-Percenters Reuben Ginbey 80 · 6.2 per game
Disposals Harley Reid 404 · 23.8 per game
Clearances Harley Reid 103 · 6.1 per game
Contested Possessions Harley Reid 215 · 12.6 per game
Tackles Elliot Yeo 77 · 5.1 per game
Clangers Harley Reid 113 · 6.6 per game
Free Kicks Against Harley Reid 51 · 3.0 per game
Umpire profile Rub of the green
FK rank 15th Avg diff -0.7

Favourite umpires

Hayden Meyer
Hayden Meyer +5.6 pts

13 matches · FK diff +1.2

Harrison Birch
Harrison Birch +5.1 pts

15 matches · FK diff +0.2

Brendan Hosking
Brendan Hosking +3.1 pts

22 matches · FK diff +2.2

Least favourite umpires

Cameron Dore
Cameron Dore -15.0 pts

20 matches · FK diff +0.4

Nathan Toner
Nathan Toner -9.4 pts

10 matches · FK diff +0.3

Brent Wallace
Brent Wallace -9.4 pts

19 matches · FK diff +0.1

Show all 38 umpire rows
Hayden Meyer
Hayden Meyer +5.6 pts

13 matches · FK diff +1.2

Harrison Birch
Harrison Birch +5.1 pts

15 matches · FK diff +0.2

Brendan Hosking
Brendan Hosking +3.1 pts

22 matches · FK diff +2.2

Mathew Nicholls
Mathew Nicholls +2.3 pts

29 matches · FK diff +0.4

Cameron Jones
Cameron Jones +1.9 pts

11 matches · FK diff +0.9

Andrew Stephens
Andrew Stephens +1.2 pts

22 matches · FK diff +1.6

Craig Fleer
Craig Fleer +0.8 pts

25 matches · FK diff +1.8

Nicholas McGinness
Nicholas McGinness +0.5 pts

13 matches · FK diff -6.0

Curtis Deboy
Curtis Deboy +0.5 pts

23 matches · FK diff +1.9

Leigh Fisher
Leigh Fisher +0.2 pts

28 matches · FK diff -0.5

Tom Bryce
Tom Bryce +0.1 pts

14 matches · FK diff -1.0

Peter Bailes
Peter Bailes -0.3 pts

7 matches · FK diff +1.3

Matthew Young
Matthew Young -0.7 pts

9 matches · FK diff -2.4

Martin Rodger
Martin Rodger -1.0 pts

8 matches · FK diff +2.2

Nick Jankovskis
Nick Jankovskis -1.1 pts

10 matches · FK diff +1.6

Andrew Heffernan
Andrew Heffernan -2.2 pts

12 matches · FK diff -1.0

Simon Meredith
Simon Meredith -2.4 pts

32 matches · FK diff +0.3

Jacob Mollison
Jacob Mollison -2.7 pts

17 matches · FK diff -0.5

Paul Rebeschini
Paul Rebeschini -2.7 pts

19 matches · FK diff -1.3

Daniel Johanson
Daniel Johanson -2.9 pts

26 matches · FK diff +0.9

Matt Stevic
Matt Stevic -3.3 pts

28 matches · FK diff +0.2

Jack Howard
Jack Howard -3.6 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +5.5

Brett Rosebury
Brett Rosebury -4.0 pts

23 matches · FK diff +2.5

Andrew Adair
Andrew Adair -4.4 pts

11 matches · FK diff -4.6

Jordan Fry
Jordan Fry -4.4 pts

11 matches · FK diff -0.8

Eleni Tee
Eleni Tee -4.5 pts

24 matches · FK diff -2.2

Justin Power
Justin Power -5.3 pts

14 matches · FK diff +0.4

Nick Brown
Nick Brown -6.5 pts

25 matches · FK diff -2.1

Jamie Broadbent
Jamie Broadbent -6.7 pts

8 matches · FK diff +0.4

John Howorth
John Howorth -6.9 pts

10 matches · FK diff +0.0

Andre Gianfagna
Andre Gianfagna -7.3 pts

7 matches · FK diff +0.4

Nathan Williamson
Nathan Williamson -8.0 pts

24 matches · FK diff +0.9

Rob O'Gorman
Rob O'Gorman -8.2 pts

23 matches · FK diff +0.8

Alex Whetton
Alex Whetton -8.5 pts

16 matches · FK diff +0.4

Nick Foot
Nick Foot -9.3 pts

22 matches · FK diff +1.0

Brent Wallace
Brent Wallace -9.4 pts

19 matches · FK diff +0.1

Nathan Toner
Nathan Toner -9.4 pts

10 matches · FK diff +0.3

Cameron Dore
Cameron Dore -15.0 pts

20 matches · FK diff +0.4

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

Finals unlikely
16th projected finish 6.4 wins 4W after 17 played
8% Wildcard round
Top 10
5% Home final
Top 6
3% Double chance
Top 4
2% Top 2
Top 2

Round 17 of 23 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Sydney

2-9 -52.4 avg margin · 11 games · Usable sample

West Coast have gone 2-9 against Sydney across the last 10 seasons.