AFL Insights

2026 season

Richmond

3-20 MCG
Ladder 17th Current position
Power -7.5 18th in league
True form Stable TFR momentum: +0.9
Injuries — —
Confidence Medium Medium tipping confidence
Next opponent TBA Fixture not available yet

Tipping insight

Richmond need matchup context

Richmond struggle vs top 8 sides (0%) but have not banked bottom 10 games (23%).

Avg next-5 win chance Pending
Stable Win chances awaiting model Injuries: not modelled

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Pending

Upcoming recommendations are awaiting recompute.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Poor · Trend down
Form heat Ice cold
Last 5 record 1-4
Margin Avg margin -32.2
A L
GEE -57 · R24 Overperformed
H L
STK -49 · R23 Underperformed
A L
ADE -9 · R22 Overperformed
H W
WCE +11 · R21 Overperformed
A L
WBD -57 · R20 Underperformed

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries

Availability is not available for this club yet.

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating -7.5
Lower League avg Stronger
18th power rank
Ladder rank 17th
True form -18.6
Cool Par Strong
16th
Record 3-20
TFR momentum +0.9
Declining Stable Rising
Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)
Avg margin -38.7
Injury load — Lower is healthier
Best side available Not modelled
Free-kick ladder 14th -0.2
Close games 2-3 5 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v West Coast
+11 Opp 15th R8 Optus Stadium

+30.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS +0.0
Remaining difficulty Fixture ranks pending Future fixture
Upset win % 13% 23 games
Win % vs top 8 0% 10 games
Win % vs bottom 10 23% 13 games
Close game win % 40% 5 games
Home win % 18% 11 games
Away win % 8% 12 games
Interstate win % 17% 6 games
Underdog win % 13% 23 games
Fast start rate 22% Led at Q1 in 5 of 23 games
Comeback rate 0% 19 games
Lead held at siren 100% 3 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

Rounds 1-24

Ladder trend

After each completed round

1 10 18 Richmond · After R1 lost to Carlton 71-75 (-4) · Ladder 12th Richmond · After R2 lost to Gold Coast 60-128 (-68) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R3 lost to Fremantle 43-103 (-60) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R4 lost to Port Adelaide 48-90 (-42) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R5 lost to GWS 75-131 (-56) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R6 lost to North Melbourne 55-130 (-75) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R7 lost to Melbourne 72-126 (-54) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R8 beat West Coast 99-88 (+11) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R9 lost to Adelaide 61-98 (-37) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R10 lost to St Kilda 73-109 (-36) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R11 beat Essendon 74-56 (+18) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R12 lost to Sydney 56-170 (-114) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R14 lost to Brisbane Lions 80-115 (-35) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R15 lost to North Melbourne 48-73 (-25) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R16 lost to Collingwood 72-106 (-34) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R17 lost to Carlton 72-74 (-2) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R18 lost to Melbourne 65-111 (-46) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R19 lost to Hawthorn 52-122 (-70) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R20 lost to Western Bulldogs 48-105 (-57) · Ladder 18th Richmond · After R21 beat West Coast 84-73 (+11) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R22 lost to Adelaide 54-63 (-9) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R23 lost to St Kilda 45-94 (-49) · Ladder 17th Richmond · After R24 lost to Geelong 76-133 (-57) · Ladder 17th Richmond 17th R1 R7 R12 R18 R24

Player power

Top 5 players

Tim Taranto Mid · 37th league
95.4
Jayden Short Mid
89.2
Toby Nankervis Ruck
85.8
Jack Ross Mid
84.9
Dion Prestia Mid
72.3
Venue performance Ground split
MCG vs STK, WCE, HAW 13 games 15% -30.9 +7.8
Marvel Stadium vs WBD, STK, NTH 3 games 0% -56.0 -17.3
Optus Stadium vs WCE, FRE 2 games · low sample 50% -24.5 +14.2
One-off venues
Adelaide Oval vs ADE 1 game · low sample 0% -9.0 +29.7
Blundstone Arena vs BRL 1 game · low sample 0% -35.0 +3.7
Barossa Park vs GWS 1 game · low sample 0% -56.0 -17.3
Kardinia Park vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -57.0 -18.3
SCG vs SYD 1 game · low sample 0% -114.0 -75.3
Stat leaders Club leaders
Goals Mykelti Lefau 23 · 1.1 per game
Accuracy Sam Cumming 80.0% · 0.6 goals per game · 8 goals, 2 behinds from 10 shots
Goal Assists Seth Campbell 13 · 0.6 per game
Marks inside 50 Tom Lynch 35 · 2.3 per game
Marks Jayden Short 143 · 6.8 per game
One-Percenters Ben Miller 142 · 6.8 per game
Disposals Tim Taranto 520 · 24.8 per game
Clearances Tim Taranto 134 · 6.4 per game
Contested Possessions Tim Taranto 264 · 12.6 per game
Tackles Tim Taranto 109 · 5.2 per game
Clangers Seth Campbell 70 · 3.0 per game
Free Kicks Against Nick Vlastuin 23 · 1.0 per game
Umpire profile Rub of the green
FK rank 14th Avg diff -0.2

Favourite umpires

Rob O'Gorman
Rob O'Gorman +5.8 pts

31 matches · FK diff -3.2

Peter Bailes
Peter Bailes +5.5 pts

7 matches · FK diff +2.7

Matt Stevic
Matt Stevic +5.4 pts

46 matches · FK diff -2.8

Least favourite umpires

Paul Rebeschini
Paul Rebeschini -10.8 pts

15 matches · FK diff -2.0

Jordan Fry
Jordan Fry -9.0 pts

7 matches · FK diff -1.1

Andrew Stephens
Andrew Stephens -8.3 pts

25 matches · FK diff -2.2

Show all 39 umpire rows
Rob O'Gorman
Rob O'Gorman +5.8 pts

31 matches · FK diff -3.2

Peter Bailes
Peter Bailes +5.5 pts

7 matches · FK diff +2.7

Matt Stevic
Matt Stevic +5.4 pts

46 matches · FK diff -2.8

Joel Clamp
Joel Clamp +4.2 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -1.0

Justin Power
Justin Power +3.4 pts

17 matches · FK diff -3.6

Andrew Heffernan
Andrew Heffernan +2.9 pts

12 matches · FK diff -1.1

Brendan Hosking
Brendan Hosking +2.6 pts

38 matches · FK diff -2.8

Simon Meredith
Simon Meredith +2.5 pts

37 matches · FK diff -2.2

Hayden Meyer
Hayden Meyer +2.3 pts

22 matches · FK diff -2.3

Brett Rosebury
Brett Rosebury +1.7 pts

43 matches · FK diff -1.3

Mathew Nicholls
Mathew Nicholls +1.6 pts

30 matches · FK diff -1.5

Craig Fleer
Craig Fleer +1.6 pts

32 matches · FK diff -2.4

Curtis Deboy
Curtis Deboy +1.3 pts

24 matches · FK diff -4.0

Andrew Adair
Andrew Adair +1.2 pts

18 matches · FK diff -0.6

Jamie Broadbent
Jamie Broadbent +1.0 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -3.0

Andre Gianfagna
Andre Gianfagna +0.3 pts

14 matches · FK diff -2.8

Brent Wallace
Brent Wallace -0.1 pts

11 matches · FK diff +0.0

Alex Whetton
Alex Whetton -0.2 pts

14 matches · FK diff -4.1

Nathan Toner
Nathan Toner -1.2 pts

7 matches · FK diff +1.1

Jacob Mollison
Jacob Mollison -1.2 pts

39 matches · FK diff -0.9

Eleni Tee
Eleni Tee -1.3 pts

12 matches · FK diff -2.2

John Howorth
John Howorth -1.3 pts

14 matches · FK diff -2.7

Matthew Young
Matthew Young -1.6 pts

9 matches · FK diff -2.6

Nathan Williamson
Nathan Williamson -2.0 pts

20 matches · FK diff -1.0

Tom Bryce
Tom Bryce -2.4 pts

9 matches · FK diff -2.2

Harrison Birch
Harrison Birch -2.7 pts

10 matches · FK diff -3.1

Nick Foot
Nick Foot -3.4 pts

30 matches · FK diff -1.3

Leigh Fisher
Leigh Fisher -3.8 pts

43 matches · FK diff -0.2

Cameron Jones
Cameron Jones -4.0 pts

9 matches · FK diff -3.4

Cameron Dore
Cameron Dore -4.0 pts

15 matches · FK diff -2.2

Nick Jankovskis
Nick Jankovskis -5.5 pts

13 matches · FK diff +0.8

Daniel Johanson
Daniel Johanson -5.9 pts

11 matches · FK diff -3.2

Nicholas McGinness
Nicholas McGinness -6.3 pts

10 matches · FK diff -2.6

Jack Howard
Jack Howard -6.4 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -4.0

Nick Brown
Nick Brown -6.5 pts

18 matches · FK diff -5.0

Martin Rodger
Martin Rodger -7.2 pts

9 matches · FK diff -0.6

Andrew Stephens
Andrew Stephens -8.3 pts

25 matches · FK diff -2.2

Jordan Fry
Jordan Fry -9.0 pts

7 matches · FK diff -1.1

Paul Rebeschini
Paul Rebeschini -10.8 pts

15 matches · FK diff -2.0

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

Finals eliminated
17th projected finish 3.0 wins 3W after 23 played
0% Wildcard round
Top 10
0% Home final
Top 6
0% Double chance
Top 4
0% Top 2
Top 2

Round 23 of 23 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Western Bulldogs

4-7 -21.4 avg margin · 11 games · Usable sample

Richmond have gone 4-7 against Western Bulldogs across the last 10 seasons.