2026 Western Bulldogs club intelligence

2026 season

Western Bulldogs

13-9-1 Mars Stadium

Ladder 8th Current position

Power +0.6 9th in league

True form Stable TFR momentum: +0.3

Injuries — —

Confidence Medium Medium tipping confidence

Next opponent TBA Fixture not available yet

Tipping insight

Western Bulldogs need matchup context

Western Bulldogs are roughly break-even vs top 8 sides (38%) but reliably handle bottom 10 sides (75%).

Avg next-5 win chance Pending

Stable Win chances awaiting model Injuries: not modelled

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Pending

Upcoming recommendations are awaiting recompute.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Volatile · Mixed trend

Form heat Building

Last 5 record 2-2-1

Margin Avg margin -4.2

A L

ADE -22 · F1 Result

H W

COL +3 · F1 Got Away With One

A W

MEL +21 · R24 Overperformed

H D

CAR +0 · R23 Overperformed

H L

NTH -23 · R22 Underperformed

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries

Availability is not available for this club yet.

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating +0.6

Lower League avg Stronger

9th power rank

Ladder rank 8th

True form 10.7

Cool Par Strong

8th

Record 13-9-1

TFR momentum +0.3

Declining Stable Rising

Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)

Avg margin -4.0

Injury load — Lower is healthier

Best side available Not modelled

Free-kick ladder 11th +0.2

Close games 8-2-1 11 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v Brisbane Lions

+5 Opp 5th OR Gabba

+24.5 pts vs line

Worst loss

L v North Melbourne

-23 Opp 8th R22 Marvel Stadium

-39.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS +0.3

Remaining difficulty Fixture ranks pending Future fixture

Upset win % 43% 14 games

Win % vs top 8 38% 13 games

Win % vs bottom 10 75% 12 games

Close game win % 73% 11 games

Home win % 58% 12 games

Away win % 54% 13 games

Interstate win % 50% 8 games

Favourite win % 73% 11 games

Underdog win % 43% 14 games

Fast start rate 56% Led at Q1 in 14 of 25 games

Comeback rate 36% 11 games

Lead held at siren 92% 13 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

OR-R24

Ladder trend

After each completed round

Player power

Top 5 players

Marcus Bontempelli Key fwd · 16th league

103.8

Ed Richards Key fwd · 17th league

103.5

Bailey Dale Mid

92.5

Matthew Kennedy Mid

92.2

Tim English Ruck

86.6

Venue performance Ground split

Marvel Stadium vs CAR, NTH, RIC 13 games 58% +3.6 +8.0

Adelaide Oval vs ADE, PORT, HAW 4 games 50% -13.5 -9.1

MCG vs COL, MEL, HAW 3 games 100% +10.0 +14.4

One-off venues

Carrara vs GCS 1 game · low sample 100% +9.0 +13.4

Gabba vs BRL 1 game · low sample 100% +5.0 +9.4

SCG vs SYD 1 game · low sample 0% -35.0 -30.6

Optus Stadium vs FRE 1 game · low sample 0% -37.0 -32.6

Kardinia Park vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -75.0 -70.6

Stat leaders Club leaders

Goals Aaron Naughton 51 · 2.1 per game

Accuracy Oskar Baker 81.8% · 1.0 goals per game · 9 goals, 2 behinds from 11 shots

Goal Assists Aaron Naughton 26 · 1.1 per game

Marks inside 50 Aaron Naughton 65 · 2.7 per game

Marks Buku Khamis 121 · 4.8 per game

One-Percenters James ODonnell 214 · 10.2 per game

Disposals Marcus Bontempelli 638 · 26.6 per game

Clearances Ed Richards 143 · 6.0 per game

Contested Possessions Marcus Bontempelli 277 · 11.5 per game

Tackles Matthew Kennedy 109 · 4.5 per game

Clangers Matthew Kennedy 97 · 4.0 per game

Free Kicks Against Matthew Kennedy 36 · 1.5 per game

Umpire profile Rub of the green

FK rank 11th Avg diff +0.2

Favourite umpires

Peter Bailes +16.0 pts

10 matches · FK diff +1.9

Martin Rodger +10.7 pts

11 matches · FK diff +0.4

Curtis Deboy +10.3 pts

24 matches · FK diff +2.5

Least favourite umpires

Cameron Jones -9.6 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -0.5

Harrison Birch -5.3 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.8

John Howorth -5.1 pts

23 matches · FK diff +0.1

Show all 33 umpire rows

Peter Bailes +16.0 pts

10 matches · FK diff +1.9

Martin Rodger +10.7 pts

11 matches · FK diff +0.4

Curtis Deboy +10.3 pts

24 matches · FK diff +2.5

Alex Whetton +7.6 pts

15 matches · FK diff +1.1

Leigh Fisher +6.5 pts

39 matches · FK diff +1.6

Brett Rosebury +5.6 pts

38 matches · FK diff +1.1

Cameron Dore +5.3 pts

13 matches · FK diff +1.3

Nathan Toner +5.0 pts

13 matches · FK diff +1.1

Rob O'Gorman +4.4 pts

24 matches · FK diff +2.0

Nicholas McGinness +4.1 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +2.7

Brendan Hosking +4.0 pts

34 matches · FK diff +1.4

Matt Stevic +3.9 pts

36 matches · FK diff +2.1

Daniel Johanson +3.0 pts

12 matches · FK diff +0.1

Brent Wallace +2.7 pts

24 matches · FK diff +1.8

Andrew Stephens +2.4 pts

36 matches · FK diff -0.1

Andre Gianfagna +2.3 pts

24 matches · FK diff +0.8

Simon Meredith +1.9 pts

43 matches · FK diff +0.8

Hayden Meyer +1.1 pts

33 matches · FK diff +2.5

Nick Brown +1.0 pts

26 matches · FK diff +4.1

Jamie Broadbent +0.9 pts

22 matches · FK diff +0.5

Craig Fleer +0.3 pts

28 matches · FK diff +0.6

Nick Foot +0.1 pts

32 matches · FK diff -0.2

Mathew Nicholls -1.2 pts

28 matches · FK diff +1.4

Andrew Heffernan -1.3 pts

13 matches · FK diff +1.8

Nathan Williamson -1.7 pts

32 matches · FK diff +1.1

Justin Power -2.1 pts

13 matches · FK diff +2.3

Paul Rebeschini -2.7 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -0.6

Jacob Mollison -4.3 pts

39 matches · FK diff +0.8

Jordan Fry -4.4 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.5

Eleni Tee -4.9 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.6

John Howorth -5.1 pts

23 matches · FK diff +0.1

Harrison Birch -5.3 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.8

Cameron Jones -9.6 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -0.5

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

Finals locked

8th projected finish 14.0 wins 14W after 25 played

100% Wildcard round
Top 10

0% Home final
Top 6

0% Double chance
Top 4

0% Top 2
Top 2

Round 25 of 25 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Melbourne

8-8 -14.5 avg margin · 16 games · Usable sample

Western Bulldogs have gone 8-8 against Melbourne across the last 10 seasons.