2026 Collingwood club intelligence

2026 season

Collingwood

12-9-2 MCG

Ladder 9th Current position

Power -1.7 14th in league

True form Stable TFR momentum: +0.3

Injuries — —

Confidence Medium Medium tipping confidence

Next opponent TBA Fixture not available yet

Tipping insight

Collingwood need matchup context

Collingwood struggle vs top 8 sides (8%) but reliably handle bottom 10 sides (100%).

Avg next-5 win chance Pending

Stable Win chances awaiting model Injuries: not modelled

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Pending

Upcoming recommendations are awaiting recompute.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Poor · Trend down

Form heat Ice cold

Last 5 record 1-3-1

Margin Avg margin -14.4

A L

WBD -3 · F1 Near Miss

H L

BRL -63 · R24 Underperformed

A D

HAW +0 · R23 Overperformed

A W

WCE +19 · R22 Result

H L

GEE -25 · R21 Underperformed

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries

Availability is not available for this club yet.

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating -1.7

Lower League avg Stronger

14th power rank

Ladder rank 9th

True form 3.6

Cool Par Strong

10th

Record 12-9-2

TFR momentum +0.3

Declining Stable Rising

Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)

Avg margin +2.0

Injury load — Lower is healthier

Best side available Not modelled

Free-kick ladder 6th +0.7

Close games 5-5-2 12 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v Adelaide

+34 Opp 10th R20 Adelaide Oval

+50.5 pts vs line

Worst loss

L v Western Bulldogs

-4 Opp 9th R12 Marvel Stadium

+4.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS -0.0

Remaining difficulty Fixture ranks pending Future fixture

Upset win % 23% 13 games

Win % vs top 8 8% 13 games

Win % vs bottom 10 100% 11 games

Close game win % 42% 12 games

Home win % 50% 12 games

Away win % 50% 12 games

Interstate win % 50% 6 games

Favourite win % 82% 11 games

Underdog win % 23% 13 games

Fast start rate 50% Led at Q1 in 12 of 24 games

Comeback rate 36% 11 games

Lead held at siren 85% 13 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

OR-R24

Ladder trend

After each completed round

Player power

Top 5 players

Nick Daicos Key fwd · 3rd league

117.8

Josh Daicos Mid · 23rd league

101

Darcy Cameron Ruck · 38th league

95.2

Dan Houston Mid

86.8

Jordan de Goey Key fwd

84.9

Venue performance Ground split

MCG vs WBD, BRL, HAW 15 games 53% +1.2 -0.6

Marvel Stadium vs NTH, WBD, GWS 3 games 67% +11.0 +9.2

Adelaide Oval vs ADE, FRE 2 games · low sample 50% +14.0 +12.2

One-off venues

Optus Stadium vs WCE 1 game · low sample 100% +19.0 +17.2

Carrara vs GCS 1 game · low sample 100% +6.0 +4.2

SCG vs SYD 1 game · low sample 0% -6.0 -7.8

Gabba vs BRL 1 game · low sample 0% -54.0 -55.8

Stat leaders Club leaders

Goals Daniel McStay 47 · 2.0 per game

Accuracy Sam Swadling 85.7% · 0.7 goals per game · 6 goals, 1 behinds from 7 shots

Goal Assists Jordan de Goey 21 · 1.0 per game

Marks inside 50 Tim Membrey 54 · 2.7 per game

Marks Dan Houston 152 · 6.3 per game

One-Percenters Billy Frampton 195 · 8.1 per game

Disposals Nick Daicos 797 · 34.7 per game

Clearances Nick Daicos 130 · 5.7 per game

Contested Possessions Darcy Cameron 255 · 11.1 per game

Tackles Ned Long 143 · 6.5 per game

Clangers Nick Daicos 115 · 5.0 per game

Free Kicks Against Darcy Cameron 29 · 1.3 per game

Umpire profile Rub of the green

FK rank 6th Avg diff +0.7

Favourite umpires

Andre Gianfagna +6.1 pts

23 matches · FK diff +3.2

Brett Rosebury +6.1 pts

58 matches · FK diff +0.9

Jamie Broadbent +3.6 pts

24 matches · FK diff +0.6

Least favourite umpires

Eleni Tee -8.1 pts

7 matches · FK diff +4.6

Paul Rebeschini -5.7 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -0.2

Nathan Toner -5.4 pts

11 matches · FK diff +0.1

Show all 29 umpire rows

Andre Gianfagna +6.1 pts

23 matches · FK diff +3.2

Brett Rosebury +6.1 pts

58 matches · FK diff +0.9

Jamie Broadbent +3.6 pts

24 matches · FK diff +0.6

John Howorth +3.5 pts

20 matches · FK diff +1.8

Alex Whetton +3.2 pts

12 matches · FK diff +2.8

Nick Foot +2.5 pts

39 matches · FK diff +2.2

Andrew Stephens +2.4 pts

43 matches · FK diff +0.3

Hayden Meyer +2.3 pts

35 matches · FK diff +0.5

Craig Fleer +2.2 pts

27 matches · FK diff +1.5

Curtis Deboy +1.3 pts

33 matches · FK diff +2.2

Nathan Williamson +1.1 pts

32 matches · FK diff +0.8

Brent Wallace +1.0 pts

18 matches · FK diff +1.6

Peter Bailes +0.3 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff -2.8

Mathew Nicholls +0.2 pts

36 matches · FK diff +2.5

Daniel Johanson +0.1 pts

7 matches · FK diff -1.0

Cameron Dore +0.1 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +2.2

Justin Power -0.3 pts

17 matches · FK diff -0.5

Rob O'Gorman -0.5 pts

29 matches · FK diff +1.0

Martin Rodger -0.8 pts

10 matches · FK diff +1.6

Andrew Heffernan -0.9 pts

12 matches · FK diff +2.5

Leigh Fisher -1.8 pts

24 matches · FK diff +1.5

Jacob Mollison -3.3 pts

46 matches · FK diff -0.8

Nick Brown -3.4 pts

11 matches · FK diff +3.0

Brendan Hosking -4.1 pts

45 matches · FK diff +1.1

Simon Meredith -4.3 pts

57 matches · FK diff +1.7

Matt Stevic -4.5 pts

56 matches · FK diff +0.9

Nathan Toner -5.4 pts

11 matches · FK diff +0.1

Paul Rebeschini -5.7 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -0.2

Eleni Tee -8.1 pts

7 matches · FK diff +4.6

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

Finals locked

10th projected finish 12.0 wins 12W after 24 played

100% Wildcard round
Top 10

0% Home final
Top 6

0% Double chance
Top 4

0% Top 2
Top 2

Round 24 of 24 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Hawthorn

5-7-2 -9.5 avg margin · 14 games · Usable sample

Collingwood have gone 5-7-2 against Hawthorn across the last 10 seasons.