2026 St Kilda club intelligence

2026 season

St Kilda

10-13 Marvel Stadium

Ladder 11th Current position

Power +2.0 6th in league

True form Stable TFR momentum: -0.0

Injuries — —

Confidence Medium Medium tipping confidence

Next opponent TBA Fixture not available yet

Tipping insight

St Kilda need matchup context

St Kilda struggle vs top 8 sides (0%) but reliably handle bottom 10 sides (71%).

Avg next-5 win chance Pending

Stable Win chances awaiting model Injuries: not modelled

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Pending

Upcoming recommendations are awaiting recompute.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Volatile · Mixed trend

Form heat Cooling

Last 5 record 2-3

Margin Avg margin -1.2

H L

GCS -23 · R24 Underperformed

A W

RIC +49 · R23 Overperformed

H L

CAR -44 · R22 Underperformed

H L

SYD -19 · R21 Result

A W

NTH +31 · R20 Overperformed

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries

Availability is not available for this club yet.

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating +2.0

Lower League avg Stronger

6th power rank

Ladder rank 11th

True form -8.8

Cool Par Strong

13th

Record 10-13

TFR momentum -0.0

Declining Stable Rising

Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)

Avg margin +2.4

Injury load — Lower is healthier

Best side available Not modelled

Free-kick ladder 1st +1.7

Close games 2-3 5 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v Carlton

+39 Opp 4th R8 Marvel Stadium

+28.5 pts vs line

Worst loss

L v Gold Coast

-23 Opp 12th R24 Marvel Stadium

-39.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS -0.4

Remaining difficulty Fixture ranks pending Future fixture

Upset win % 18% 11 games

Win % vs top 8 0% 9 games

Win % vs bottom 10 71% 14 games

Close game win % 40% 5 games

Home win % 36% 11 games

Away win % 50% 12 games

Interstate win % 33% 6 games

Favourite win % 67% 12 games

Underdog win % 18% 11 games

Fast start rate 78% Led at Q1 in 18 of 23 games

Comeback rate 11% 9 games

Lead held at siren 83% 12 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

OR-R24

Ladder trend

After each completed round

Player power

Top 5 players

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera Key fwd · 10th league

106.3

Bradley Hill Mid · 20th league

101.7

Jack Sinclair Mid · 26th league

99.5

Callum Wilkie Mid · 41st league

94.7

Max Hall Key fwd · 44th league

94.5

Venue performance Ground split

Marvel Stadium vs GCS, CAR, SYD 13 games 54% +7.9 +5.5

MCG vs RIC, MEL, COL 3 games 33% +8.0 +5.6

Adelaide Oval vs ADE, PORT 2 games · low sample 50% +6.5 +4.1

One-off venues

ENGIE Stadium vs GWS 1 game · low sample 100% +4.0 +1.6

SCG vs SYD 1 game · low sample 0% -2.0 -4.4

Kardinia Park vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -27.0 -29.4

TIO Stadium vs GCS 1 game · low sample 0% -29.0 -31.4

Optus Stadium vs FRE 1 game · low sample 0% -30.0 -32.4

Stat leaders Club leaders

Goals Liam Ryan 33 · 1.9 per game

Accuracy Dan Butler 75.0% · 0.6 goals per game · 6 goals, 2 behinds from 8 shots

Goal Assists Cooper Sharman 26 · 1.2 per game

Marks inside 50 Cooper Sharman 48 · 2.3 per game

Marks Callum Wilkie 221 · 9.6 per game

One-Percenters Jack Silvagni 126 · 5.5 per game

Disposals Bradley Hill 630 · 27.4 per game

Clearances Hugo Garcia 137 · 6.0 per game

Contested Possessions Hugo Garcia 229 · 10.0 per game

Tackles Hugo Garcia 129 · 5.6 per game

Clangers Marcus Windhager 84 · 3.7 per game

Free Kicks Against Tom De Koning 39 · 1.9 per game

Umpire profile Rub of the green

FK rank 1st Avg diff +1.7

Favourite umpires

Jordan Fry +10.1 pts

8 matches · FK diff +1.4

Simon Meredith +7.1 pts

22 matches · FK diff -2.0

Matthew Young +6.8 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -1.0

Least favourite umpires

Hayden Meyer -12.4 pts

23 matches · FK diff -0.2

Peter Bailes -11.9 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -1.5

Tom Bryce -9.2 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff +3.8

Show all 37 umpire rows

Jordan Fry +10.1 pts

8 matches · FK diff +1.4

Simon Meredith +7.1 pts

22 matches · FK diff -2.0

Matthew Young +6.8 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -1.0

Cameron Dore +6.8 pts

17 matches · FK diff -2.0

John Howorth +5.7 pts

21 matches · FK diff +1.3

Curtis Deboy +5.2 pts

29 matches · FK diff -0.5

Nathan Toner +4.7 pts

13 matches · FK diff -0.3

Martin Rodger +4.2 pts

9 matches · FK diff -0.4

Nathan Williamson +3.7 pts

17 matches · FK diff -0.6

Andrew Adair +3.7 pts

9 matches · FK diff +1.8

Leigh Fisher +3.7 pts

29 matches · FK diff -0.7

Paul Rebeschini +3.0 pts

11 matches · FK diff +2.5

Alex Whetton +2.9 pts

21 matches · FK diff -0.7

Brendan Hosking +2.7 pts

29 matches · FK diff +0.7

Nick Jankovskis +2.3 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff +4.4

Nick Foot +1.9 pts

32 matches · FK diff -0.2

Brent Wallace +1.9 pts

19 matches · FK diff +1.5

Nicholas McGinness +1.8 pts

11 matches · FK diff -0.2

Matt Stevic +1.4 pts

37 matches · FK diff +0.1

Jacob Mollison +0.8 pts

38 matches · FK diff -0.5

Andre Gianfagna +0.7 pts

20 matches · FK diff +1.5

Jamie Broadbent +0.5 pts

18 matches · FK diff +1.6

Harrison Birch +0.4 pts

8 matches · FK diff +1.2

Justin Power +0.3 pts

15 matches · FK diff -0.5

Daniel Johanson -1.0 pts

10 matches · FK diff +2.0

Brett Rosebury -1.5 pts

20 matches · FK diff -1.1

Nick Brown -1.9 pts

25 matches · FK diff -0.0

Andrew Heffernan -2.2 pts

13 matches · FK diff +0.1

Andrew Stephens -2.6 pts

36 matches · FK diff -1.1

Rob O'Gorman -3.2 pts

34 matches · FK diff -0.3

Eleni Tee -4.1 pts

13 matches · FK diff -0.4

Mathew Nicholls -4.7 pts

24 matches · FK diff -1.7

Cameron Jones -7.5 pts

12 matches · FK diff -0.2

Craig Fleer -9.0 pts

31 matches · FK diff +0.3

Tom Bryce -9.2 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff +3.8

Peter Bailes -11.9 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -1.5

Hayden Meyer -12.4 pts

23 matches · FK diff -0.2

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

Finals eliminated

12th projected finish 10.0 wins 10W after 23 played

0% Wildcard round
Top 10

0% Home final
Top 6

0% Double chance
Top 4

0% Top 2
Top 2

Round 23 of 23 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Western Bulldogs

4-8 -26.6 avg margin · 12 games · Usable sample

St Kilda have gone 4-8 against Western Bulldogs across the last 10 seasons.