AFL Insights

2026 season

Fremantle

9-1 Optus Stadium
Ladder 2nd Current position
Power +4.3 2nd in league
True form Rising TFR momentum: +1.6
Injuries Minor 1.3 pts
Confidence High High tipping confidence
Next opponent
STK
Optus Stadium · Fri 22 May, 6:30 PM AWST

Tipping insight

Fremantle profile is tip-friendly

Fremantle hold up vs top 8 sides (75%) but reliably handle bottom 10 sides (100%).

Avg next-5 win chance 68%
Rising Favourable run Injuries: Minor

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Favourable run
Avg opp rank 7.0 Favourable run · 68% avg win prob Toughest Geelong
H Favourable
STK Ladder 9th · R11 · Optus 85% win · +29 pts
True form +16.9 advantage Opp moderate injury load
A Favourable
BRL Ladder 7th · R12 · Gabba 71% win
True form +13.9 advantage Interstate trip
A Favourable
NTH Ladder 12th · R13 · Hands Oval 72% win
True form +22.7 advantage
H Tough
GEE Ladder 3rd · R15 · Optus 42% win
True form +1.8 advantage
H Favourable
GCS Ladder 4th · R16 · Optus 70% win
True form +8.4 advantage

Projected 3.4 wins from the next 5.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Strong · Trend up
Form heat Red hot
Last 5 record 5-0
Margin Avg margin +28.0
A W
ESS +43 · R10 Underperformed
H W
HAW +15 · R9 Result
A W
WBD +12 · R8 Result
H W
CAR +14 · R7 Underperformed
A W
WCE +56 · R6 Clinical

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries
Minor 90% 5 listed injuries
Clear Manageable Major
Jaeger O'Meara 1 week
Sean Darcy 1-3 weeks
Alex Pearce 1-3 weeks
Brandon Walker TBC

As of 12 May 2026 · Worsening — more players out

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating +4.3
Lower League avg Stronger
2nd power rank
Ladder rank 2nd
True form 16.0
Cool Par Strong
1st
Record 9-1
TFR momentum +1.6
Declining Stable Rising
Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)
Avg margin +24.6
Injury load 1.3 pts
Clear Manageable Major
Lower is healthier
Best 22 available 90%
Free-kick ladder 16th -2.9
Close games 3-1 4 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v Melbourne
+48 Opp 5th R2 Optus Stadium

+27.5 pts vs line

Worst loss

L v Geelong
-10 Opp 1st R1 Kardinia Park

+4.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Below-average draw SoS -1.2
Remaining difficulty Average run Avg opp rank 9.4
Upset win % 0% 1 game · low sample
Win % vs top 8 75% 4 games
Win % vs bottom 10 100% 6 games
Close game win % 75% 4 games
Home win % 100% 4 games
Away win % 83% 6 games
Interstate win % 80% 5 games
Favourite win % 100% 9 games
Underdog win % 0% 1 game · low sample
Fast start rate 80% Led at Q1 in 8 of 10 games
Comeback rate 100% 3 games
Lead held at siren 88% 8 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

Rounds 1-10

Ladder trend

After each completed round

1 10 18 Fremantle · After R1 lost to Geelong 100-110 (-10) · Ladder 13th Fremantle · After R2 beat Melbourne 118-70 (+48) · Ladder 5th Fremantle · After R3 beat Richmond 103-43 (+60) · Ladder 3rd Fremantle · After R4 beat Adelaide 78-76 (+2) · Ladder 4th Fremantle · After R5 beat Collingwood 45-39 (+6) · Ladder 2nd Fremantle · After R6 beat West Coast 97-41 (+56) · Ladder 2nd Fremantle · After R7 beat Carlton 103-89 (+14) · Ladder 2nd Fremantle · After R8 beat Western Bulldogs 114-102 (+12) · Ladder 2nd Fremantle · After R9 beat Hawthorn 88-73 (+15) · Ladder 2nd Fremantle · After R10 beat Essendon 104-61 (+43) · Ladder 2nd Fremantle 2nd R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

Player power

Top 5 players

Luke Jackson Ruck · 7th league
109.9
Andrew Brayshaw Mid · 43rd league
95
Caleb Serong Mid · 49th league
93.4
Shai Bolton Key fwd
89
Luke Ryan Mid
86.7
Venue performance Ground split
Optus Stadium vs HAW, CAR, WCE 5 games 100% +38.6 +14.0
Adelaide Oval vs COL, ADE 2 games · low sample 100% +4.0 -20.6
One-off venues
MCG vs ESS 1 game · low sample 100% +43.0 +18.4
Marvel Stadium vs WBD 1 game · low sample 100% +12.0 -12.6
Kardinia Park vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -10.0 -34.6
Stat leaders Club leaders
Goals Josh Treacy 23 · 2.3 per game
Accuracy Michael Frederick 87.5% · 1.4 goals per game · 7 goals, 1 behinds from 8 shots
Goal Assists Shai Bolton 13 · 1.3 per game
Marks inside 50 Josh Treacy 33 · 3.3 per game
Marks Josh Treacy 68 · 6.8 per game
One-Percenters Brennan Cox 57 · 7.1 per game
Disposals Caleb Serong 249 · 24.9 per game
Clearances Caleb Serong 63 · 6.3 per game
Contested Possessions Caleb Serong 122 · 12.2 per game
Tackles Andrew Brayshaw 66 · 6.6 per game
Clangers Luke Jackson 39 · 3.9 per game
Free Kicks Against Andrew Brayshaw 16 · 1.6 per game

Season projection

Finals race

Likely finals
2nd projected finish 16.7 wins 9W after 10 played
85% Wildcard round
Top 10
74% Home final
Top 6
63% Double chance
Top 4

Mid season (Rd 10 of 23) · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Brisbane Lions

3-8 -25.6 avg margin · 11 games · Usable sample

Fremantle have gone 3-8 against Brisbane Lions across the last 10 seasons.