2026 Fremantle club intelligence

2026 season

Fremantle

15-2 Optus Stadium

Ladder 1st Current position

Power +4.4 2nd in league

True form Stable TFR momentum: -1.0

Injuries Minor 2.8 pts

Confidence High High tipping confidence

Next opponent

PORT

Adelaide Oval · Sat 18 Jul, 12:45 PM ACST

Tipping insight

Fremantle profile is tip-friendly

Fremantle hold up vs top 8 sides (100%) but reliably handle bottom 10 sides (80%).

Avg next-5 win chance 71%

Stable Favourable run Injuries: Minor

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Favourable run

Avg opp rank 9.8 Favourable run · 71% avg win prob Toughest Adelaide

A Favourable

PORT Ladder 15th · R19 · Adel Oval 88% win · +66 pts

True form +25.9 advantage Opp major injury load

H Favourable

WCE Ladder 16th · R20 · Optus 76% win

True form +31.6 advantage

H Favourable

WBD Ladder 7th · R21 · Optus 78% win

True form +13.6 advantage

A Line ball

MEL Ladder 6th · R22 · MCG 53% win

True form +4.2 advantage Interstate trip

H Line ball

ADE Ladder 5th · R23 · Optus 60% win

True form +4.1 advantage

Projected 3.6 wins from the next 5.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Strong · Trend up

Form heat Hot

Last 5 record 4-1

Margin Avg margin +40.2

H W

SYD +38 · R18 Overperformed

A L

GWS -21 · R17 Underperformed

H W

GCS +51 · R16 Overperformed

H W

GEE +9 · R15 Result

A W

NTH +124 · R13 Overperformed

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries

Minor 96% 3 listed injuries

Clear Manageable Major

Corey Wagner Test

Charlie Nicholls 3 weeks

Sam Sturt 3 weeks

As of 14 Jul 2026 · Worsening — more players out

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating +4.4

Lower League avg Stronger

2nd power rank

Ladder rank 1st

True form 16.4

Cool Par Strong

1st

Record 15-2

TFR momentum -1.0

Declining Stable Rising

Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)

Avg margin +29.5

Injury load 2.8 pts

Clear Manageable Major

Lower is healthier

Best side available 96%

Free-kick ladder 11th -0.3

Close games 4-1 5 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v Hawthorn

+15 Opp 1st R9 Optus Stadium

+9.5 pts vs line

Worst loss

L v GWS

-21 Opp 9th R17 Manuka Oval

-46.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS -0.2

Remaining difficulty Average run Avg opp rank 10.5

Upset win % 50% 2 games · low sample

Win % vs top 8 100% 7 games

Win % vs bottom 10 80% 10 games

Close game win % 80% 5 games

Home win % 100% 8 games

Away win % 78% 9 games

Interstate win % 71% 7 games

Favourite win % 93% 15 games

Underdog win % 50% 2 games · low sample

Fast start rate 65% Led at Q1 in 11 of 17 games

Comeback rate 86% 7 games

Lead held at siren 92% 13 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

Rounds 1-18

Ladder trend

After each completed round

Player power

Top 5 players

Luke Jackson Ruck · 12th league

106.2

Andrew Brayshaw Mid · 33rd league

97.3

Caleb Serong Mid

91.1

Shai Bolton Key fwd

88.6

Murphy Reid Mid

85.7

Venue performance Ground split

Optus Stadium vs SYD, GCS, GEE 9 games 100% +35.7 +6.1

Adelaide Oval vs COL, ADE 2 games · low sample 100% +4.0 -25.5

One-off venues

Hands Oval vs NTH 1 game · low sample 100% +124.0 +94.5

MCG vs ESS 1 game · low sample 100% +43.0 +13.5

Gabba vs BRL 1 game · low sample 100% +25.0 -4.5

Marvel Stadium vs WBD 1 game · low sample 100% +12.0 -17.5

Kardinia Park vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -10.0 -39.5

Manuka Oval vs GWS 1 game · low sample 0% -21.0 -50.5

Stat leaders Club leaders

Goals Josh Treacy 41 · 2.4 per game

Accuracy Hayden Young 77.8% · 0.8 goals per game · 7 goals, 2 behinds from 9 shots

Goal Assists Shai Bolton 22 · 1.3 per game

Marks inside 50 Josh Treacy 56 · 3.3 per game

Marks Luke Ryan 113 · 7.1 per game

One-Percenters Brennan Cox 91 · 6.5 per game

Disposals Andrew Brayshaw 421 · 24.8 per game

Clearances Caleb Serong 83 · 5.9 per game

Contested Possessions Luke Jackson 194 · 11.4 per game

Tackles Andrew Brayshaw 104 · 6.1 per game

Clangers Luke Jackson 62 · 3.6 per game

Free Kicks Against Patrick Voss 26 · 1.6 per game

Umpire profile Rub of the green

FK rank 11th Avg diff -0.3

Favourite umpires

Justin Power +11.2 pts

27 matches · FK diff -0.7

Cameron Jones +10.8 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff +8.0

Jacob Mollison +10.7 pts

34 matches · FK diff -0.7

Least favourite umpires

Leigh Fisher -11.0 pts

26 matches · FK diff -3.1

Matthew Young -8.9 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.8

Craig Fleer -8.8 pts

20 matches · FK diff -0.5

Show all 37 umpire rows

Justin Power +11.2 pts

27 matches · FK diff -0.7

Cameron Jones +10.8 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff +8.0

Jacob Mollison +10.7 pts

34 matches · FK diff -0.7

Hayden Meyer +7.9 pts

17 matches · FK diff -0.1

Eleni Tee +6.8 pts

13 matches · FK diff -1.8

Mathew Nicholls +6.5 pts

22 matches · FK diff +0.0

Brendan Hosking +6.1 pts

35 matches · FK diff +0.5

Harrison Birch +5.8 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +5.5

Daniel Johanson +4.6 pts

29 matches · FK diff +2.1

Nicholas McGinness +4.2 pts

7 matches · FK diff +4.9

Paul Rebeschini +4.0 pts

13 matches · FK diff +3.0

Jordan Fry +4.0 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +0.8

Andrew Adair +3.9 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +0.2

Andrew Heffernan +3.6 pts

17 matches · FK diff +2.8

John Howorth +1.7 pts

16 matches · FK diff +1.3

Peter Bailes +1.6 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff -1.5

Cameron Dore +1.1 pts

20 matches · FK diff +3.0

Tom Bryce +0.8 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.2

Rob O'Gorman +0.2 pts

26 matches · FK diff -0.6

Nick Brown +0.1 pts

21 matches · FK diff -0.5

Jamie Broadbent -0.5 pts

14 matches · FK diff -1.9

Nathan Williamson -0.8 pts

32 matches · FK diff -0.3

Curtis Deboy -1.2 pts

20 matches · FK diff -0.6

Alex Whetton -1.3 pts

22 matches · FK diff +1.7

Matt Stevic -1.5 pts

35 matches · FK diff -3.3

Martin Rodger -1.8 pts

10 matches · FK diff -1.3

Nathan Toner -3.2 pts

9 matches · FK diff -0.9

Nick Jankovskis -4.2 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.0

Brent Wallace -4.3 pts

17 matches · FK diff -0.1

Simon Meredith -4.4 pts

37 matches · FK diff -0.7

Andre Gianfagna -5.4 pts

17 matches · FK diff -0.7

Andrew Stephens -7.2 pts

17 matches · FK diff -1.6

Nick Foot -7.4 pts

27 matches · FK diff +0.5

Brett Rosebury -8.1 pts

39 matches · FK diff -1.4

Craig Fleer -8.8 pts

20 matches · FK diff -0.5

Matthew Young -8.9 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.8

Leigh Fisher -11.0 pts

26 matches · FK diff -3.1

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

Likely finals

1st projected finish 18.9 wins 15W after 17 played

94% Wildcard round
Top 10

91% Home final
Top 6

89% Double chance
Top 4

85% Top 2
Top 2

Round 17 of 23 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Geelong

5-8 -22.7 avg margin · 13 games · Usable sample

Fremantle have gone 5-8 against Geelong across the last 10 seasons.