2026 Fremantle club intelligence

2026 season

Fremantle

19-4 Optus Stadium

Ladder 1st Current position

Power +0.3 11th in league

True form Stable TFR momentum: -0.5

Injuries Minor 0 pts

Confidence High High tipping confidence

Next opponent

SYD

SCG · Fri 18 Sep, 7:40 PM AEST

Tipping insight

Fremantle profile is tip-friendly

Fremantle hold up vs top 8 sides (77%) but reliably handle bottom 10 sides (83%).

Avg next-5 win chance 67%

Stable Favourable run Injuries: Minor

Fixture outlook

Next 5 games

Favourable run

Avg opp rank 2.0 Favourable run · 67% avg win prob Toughest Sydney

A Favourable

SYD Ladder 2nd · PF · SCG 67% win · +12 pts

True form -1.4 deficit Opp major injury load

Projected 0.7 wins from the next 1.

Form + Last 5

Recent tipping read

Form: Volatile · Mixed trend

Form heat Cold

Last 5 record 2-3

Margin Avg margin -7.0

H W

GEE +14 · SF Result

H L

HAW -32 · F1 Underperformed

A L

CAR -37 · R24 Underperformed

H W

ADE +24 · R23 Clinical

A L

MEL -4 · R22 Underperformed

Availability

Injury health

Full injuries

Minor 96% 5 listed injuries

Clear Manageable Major

Brennan Cox 1 week

Sean Darcy Test

Brandon Walker Test

Aiden Riddle 1 week

As of 08 Sep 2026 · Improving — injury load easing

Team snapshot

Current read

Power rating +0.3

Lower League avg Stronger

11th power rank

Ladder rank 1st

True form 14.2

Cool Par Strong

4th

Record 19-4

TFR momentum -0.5

Declining Stable Rising

Rate of power-rating change (not results-based)

Avg margin +27.0

Injury load 0 pts

Clear Manageable Major

Lower is healthier

Best side available 96%

Free-kick ladder 13th -0.0

Close games 4-2 6 close games

Results profile

Biggest scalp and worst loss

Biggest scalp

W v Sydney

+38 Opp 2nd R18 Optus Stadium

+25.5 pts vs line

Worst loss

L v GWS

-21 Opp 13th R17 Manuka Oval

-46.5 pts vs line

Season profile

Where the wins are coming from

Played difficulty Average draw SoS +0.4

Remaining difficulty Brutal run home Avg opp rank 2.0

Upset win % 50% 2 games · low sample

Win % vs top 8 77% 13 games

Win % vs bottom 10 83% 12 games

Close game win % 67% 6 games

Home win % 92% 13 games

Away win % 67% 12 games

Interstate win % 60% 10 games

Favourite win % 83% 23 games

Underdog win % 50% 2 games · low sample

Fast start rate 60% Led at Q1 in 15 of 25 games

Comeback rate 70% 10 games

Lead held at siren 89% 19 games

Season trend

Ladder, true form, power, injury and momentum by round

Rounds 1-24

Ladder trend

After each completed round

Player power

Top 5 players

Luke Jackson Ruck · 9th league

106.4

Andrew Brayshaw Mid · 34th league

96.7

Caleb Serong Mid

91.6

Shai Bolton Key fwd

86.2

Jordan Clark Mid

84.4

Venue performance Ground split

Optus Stadium vs GEE, HAW, ADE 14 games 93% +31.0 +6.9

Adelaide Oval vs PORT, COL, ADE 3 games 100% +12.0 -12.1

MCG vs MEL, ESS 2 games · low sample 50% +19.5 -4.6

Marvel Stadium vs CAR, WBD 2 games · low sample 50% -12.5 -36.6

One-off venues

Hands Oval vs NTH 1 game · low sample 100% +124.0 +99.9

Gabba vs BRL 1 game · low sample 100% +25.0 +0.9

Kardinia Park vs GEE 1 game · low sample 0% -10.0 -34.1

Manuka Oval vs GWS 1 game · low sample 0% -21.0 -45.1

Stat leaders Club leaders

Goals Jye Amiss 61 · 2.5 per game

Accuracy Michael Frederick 73.5% · 1.2 goals per game · 25 goals, 9 behinds from 34 shots

Goal Assists Shai Bolton 29 · 1.2 per game

Marks inside 50 Jye Amiss 80 · 3.3 per game

Marks Luke Ryan 169 · 7.0 per game

One-Percenters Brennan Cox 113 · 6.3 per game

Disposals Andrew Brayshaw 621 · 24.8 per game

Clearances Caleb Serong 141 · 6.4 per game

Contested Possessions Luke Jackson 283 · 11.3 per game

Tackles Andrew Brayshaw 148 · 5.9 per game

Clangers Luke Jackson 87 · 3.5 per game

Free Kicks Against Luke Jackson 38 · 1.5 per game

Umpire profile Rub of the green

FK rank 13th Avg diff -0.0

Favourite umpires

Justin Power +11.4 pts

28 matches · FK diff -0.1

Jacob Mollison +10.3 pts

35 matches · FK diff -0.6

Cameron Jones +8.8 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +6.0

Least favourite umpires

Leigh Fisher -11.1 pts

27 matches · FK diff -3.3

Matthew Young -8.9 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.8

Brett Rosebury -8.8 pts

40 matches · FK diff -1.4

Show all 37 umpire rows

Justin Power +11.4 pts

28 matches · FK diff -0.1

Jacob Mollison +10.3 pts

35 matches · FK diff -0.6

Cameron Jones +8.8 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +6.0

Eleni Tee +6.8 pts

13 matches · FK diff -1.8

Mathew Nicholls +6.5 pts

22 matches · FK diff +0.0

Brendan Hosking +6.0 pts

36 matches · FK diff +0.5

Harrison Birch +5.8 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +5.5

Hayden Meyer +5.0 pts

20 matches · FK diff -0.7

Paul Rebeschini +4.0 pts

13 matches · FK diff +3.0

Jordan Fry +4.0 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +0.8

Andrew Adair +3.9 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +0.2

Andrew Heffernan +3.6 pts

17 matches · FK diff +2.8

Daniel Johanson +3.0 pts

31 matches · FK diff +2.1

John Howorth +1.7 pts

16 matches · FK diff +1.3

Nicholas McGinness +1.1 pts

8 matches · FK diff +4.5

Cameron Dore +1.1 pts

20 matches · FK diff +3.0

Rob O'Gorman +0.8 pts

27 matches · FK diff -0.1

Nick Brown +0.1 pts

21 matches · FK diff -0.5

Tom Bryce -0.7 pts

5 matches · low confidence · FK diff +0.2

Peter Bailes -0.7 pts

8 matches · FK diff -2.9

Jamie Broadbent -0.8 pts

15 matches · FK diff -1.5

Matt Stevic -1.5 pts

35 matches · FK diff -3.3

Martin Rodger -1.6 pts

11 matches · FK diff -1.4

Curtis Deboy -1.8 pts

21 matches · FK diff -0.7

Nathan Williamson -1.8 pts

34 matches · FK diff -0.3

Nathan Toner -1.9 pts

10 matches · FK diff +0.6

Alex Whetton -2.7 pts

23 matches · FK diff +1.7

Nick Jankovskis -4.2 pts

4 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.0

Simon Meredith -4.4 pts

40 matches · FK diff -0.9

Brent Wallace -4.8 pts

19 matches · FK diff +0.7

Andre Gianfagna -5.4 pts

17 matches · FK diff -0.7

Nick Foot -7.1 pts

29 matches · FK diff +0.7

Craig Fleer -8.3 pts

21 matches · FK diff -0.4

Andrew Stephens -8.6 pts

18 matches · FK diff -1.4

Brett Rosebury -8.8 pts

40 matches · FK diff -1.4

Matthew Young -8.9 pts

6 matches · low confidence · FK diff +1.8

Leigh Fisher -11.1 pts

27 matches · FK diff -3.3

Only active umpire-club samples with at least 4 lined matches are shown. Samples up to 6 matches stay visible but carry a low-confidence label.

Season projection

Finals race

Top 2 locked

1st projected finish 20.3 wins 20W after 25 played

100% Wildcard round
Top 10

100% Home final
Top 6

100% Double chance
Top 4

100% Top 2
Top 2

Round 25 of 26 · 5,000-season simulation · TFR noise + baseline calibration

Bogey team

Brisbane Lions

4-8 -21.4 avg margin · 12 games · Usable sample

Fremantle have gone 4-8 against Brisbane Lions across the last 10 seasons.