Tips

← Prev 2026 Round 3 Next →
Tip difficulty Manageable Pass mark 5.02/7 tips (6th hardest so far this season)

Roughie of the week

Adelaide over Geelong

$4.40 · model 35% vs market 21%

Highest confidence

Fremantle over Richmond

88% confidence · ~36 pts

Closest calls

1 coin toss
CAR v MEL · 53%

Round 3  ·  Thu 26 Mar, 7:30 PM AEDT

Geelong v Adelaide

Kardinia Park

Tip

65%
Geelong

Medium confidence ~14 pts

Injury

Geelong big edge Outs currently sit 5-6 across the two squads.

Travel / turnaround

Geelong big edge interstate travel · rest differential

Round 3  ·  Fri 27 Mar, 7:40 PM AEDT

Collingwood v GWS

Marvel Stadium

Tip

58%
Collingwood

Medium confidence ~1 pts

Form

Collingwood big edge Recent margin form is running 17.5 pts better.

Injury

Collingwood big edge Outs currently sit 2-9 across the two squads.

Round 3  ·  Sat 28 Mar, 12:35 PM AEDT

St Kilda v Brisbane Lions

Marvel Stadium

Tip

61%
Brisbane Lions

Medium confidence ~8 pts

Form

Brisbane Lions big edge Recent margin form is running 14.8 pts better.

Travel / turnaround

St Kilda big edge interstate travel · travel turnaround · rest differential

Round 3  ·  Sat 28 Mar, 1:15 PM AWST

Fremantle v Richmond

Optus Stadium

Tip

88%
Fremantle

High confidence ~36 pts

Form

Fremantle big edge Recent margin form is running 52.8 pts better.

Rub of the green

Fremantle big edge Fremantle +6.4 pts · FRE +6.7 · RIC +0.3

Round 3  ·  Sat 28 Mar, 7:35 PM AEDT

Essendon v North Melbourne

Marvel Stadium

Tip

61%
North Melbourne

Medium confidence ~11 pts

Form

North Melbourne big edge Recent margin form is running 79.5 pts better.

Injury

North Melbourne solid edge Outs currently sit 9-4 across the two squads.

Round 3  ·  Sun 29 Mar, 12:00 PM ACDT

Port Adelaide v West Coast

Adelaide Oval

Tip

73%
Port Adelaide

High confidence ~25 pts

Form

Port Adelaide big edge Recent margin form is running 42.5 pts better.

Rub of the green

Port Adelaide big edge Port Adelaide +4.7 pts · PORT +2.8 · WCE -1.9

Round 3  ·  Sun 29 Mar, 3:15 PM AEDT

Tip

53%
Melbourne

Coin toss confidence ~11 pts Coin toss

Form

Carlton big edge Recent margin form is running 26.5 pts better.

Travel / turnaround

Carlton big edge rest differential