Roughie of the week
Gold Coast over GWS$3.54 · model 44% vs market 27%
Adelaide's biggest all-time win came against Richmond
Their No. 1 Biggest Wins row from R16,1993 is 171-32, a 139-point margin.
Highest confidence
Geelong over Essendon89% confidence · ~71 pts
Closest calls
3 coin tosses
WBD v NTH · 54%
WCE v COL · 53%
What stands out
Round storylines
Adelaide
Richmond
139 pts
record margin vs Richmond
No. 1 Biggest Wins
club game records
Adelaide
10-1
when winning contested possessions
Adelaide keep turning contested possessions wins into actual wins
They are 10-1 when they win contested possessions, versus 33% when they do not.
91% win rate
+13.7 contested possessions gap
20 decisive stat games
Round 22 · Thu 6 Aug, 7:30 PM AEST
Naughton and Weightman back to keep the Roos streak alive
Tip
54%Form
Western Bulldogs big edge Recent margin form is running 28.0 pts better.Injury
North Melbourne solid edge Western Bulldogs 9.3 pts lost vs North Melbourne 2.4.Round 22 · Fri 7 Aug, 7:40 PM AEST
Lions squeeze past the Hawks in a Friday night match of the round arm wrestle
Tip
56%Form
Hawthorn big edge Recent margin form is running 36.5 pts better.Rub of the green
Brisbane Lions big edge Brisbane Lions +6.2 pts · BRL +6.7 · HAW +0.4Round 22 · Sat 8 Aug, 1:15 PM AEST
Dockers road trip to the G backed by top of the ladder clout
Tip
61%Form
Fremantle big edge Recent margin form is running 30.5 pts better.Travel / turnaround
Melbourne big edge interstate travel · travel turnaround · rest differentialRound 22 · Sat 8 Aug, 4:15 PM AEST
Swans should feast at the SCG with Port missing fifteen players
Tip
88%Form
Sydney big edge Recent margin form is running 32.2 pts better.Injury
Sydney big edge Outs currently sit 10-15 across the two squads.Round 22 · Sat 8 Aug, 4:35 PM AEST
Cats set for a Kardinia Park bloodbath against hapless Bombers
Tip
89%Form
Geelong big edge Recent margin form is running 77.8 pts better.Venue
Geelong big edge true home ground · fortress edgeRound 22 · Sat 8 Aug, 7:05 PM ACST
Crows set for a proper bloodbath under the Adelaide Oval lights
Tip
89%Form
Adelaide big edge Recent margin form is running 73.8 pts better.Travel / turnaround
Adelaide big edge interstate travel · travel turnaroundRound 22 · Sun 9 Aug, 1:10 PM AEST
Suns ten straight losses and a rainy Manuka trip wont help
Tip
56%Form
GWS big edge Recent margin form is running 20.2 pts better.Injury
Gold Coast big edge Outs currently sit 13-3 across the two squads.Round 22 · Sun 9 Aug, 2:10 PM AWST
Pies pinch it in Perth but this one could go either way
Tip
53%Form
Collingwood big edge Recent margin form is running 38.8 pts better.Injury
West Coast big edge Outs currently sit 9-13 across the two squads.
