Round 19
Recommendation
Fremantle 88%
Margin: ~66 pts
Depleted Power missing Horne-Francis, Butters, Georgiades and Rozee makes blowout likely
Port Adelaide lose four A-graders (Horne-Francis suspended, Butters, Georgiades, Rozee out) against the top side. Umpire crew data adds another 3.9 pts Freo's way, pushing this past the 47.5 line.
Twelve outs and a ladder gap that wide, Dockers cruise Adelaide Oval
Fremantle sit atop the ladder at 15-2 and boast a season average margin of +30, making them comfortably the form side of the competition heading into this one. Port Adelaide, languishing in 15th at 6-11, are already under the pump and now lose key names like Jason Horne-Francis through suspension and Mitch Georgiades to injury, adding to a brutal total of 12 likely outs. The Dockers, by contrast, welcome back Hayden Young and have just two likely absentees, giving them a massive edge on the availability front. While Shai Bolton is managed out, Freo's depth and overall rating advantage dwarf anything the Power can throw at them at Adelaide Oval. Even factoring in the interstate trip, the class gap is simply too wide, and the model has the Dockers winning by around 10 goals.
Match summary
Injury · Form · Venue
Last time they played
Use last result: With caution
Treat the old result cautiously because availability now favours Fremantle.
Umpire crew
Compact historical lean by side
95 combined team-specific lined samples
Biggest scalp
Opponent quality first; margin breaks ties.
Injury / Availability
Port Adelaide
Fremantle
Venue performance
Based on 161 completed games at Adelaide Oval
Season performance
Season trend
Rounds 1-18
After each completed round
Results-anchored score after each completed round
Raw model rating entering each round
Expected points lost entering each round
Season to date
Team selection
